Broadview Arena · at Buffalo · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -4.5✓ BUF covered by 2.5
M-OH -4.5✓ BUF covered by 2.5Closing total165.5Under by 21.5
| M-OH | This season | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 19-0 | Record | 12-8 |
| 13-6 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 14-5 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 86–80 BUF · ✓ M-OH (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| BUF | 35 | 36 | 71 |
1st half: M-OH 38, BUF 35 (M-OH by 3). The model had M-OH by 3.4 and a total of 77.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| M-OH | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 3-6 50% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Suder G | 34 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Eian Elmer G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 9-15 | 1-5 |
| Brant Byers F | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Kirby G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Almar Atlason F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Trey Perry G | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Brady Ganley, Jackson Kotecki, Evan Ipsaro, Leshawn Stowers, Eli Yofan
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol G | 36 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-15 | 2-12 |
| Daniel Freitag G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 33 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 9-14 | 2-4 |
| Tim Oboh F | 29 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Shao, Matas Buteliauskas, Omar Migues-Hibeljic, Kyle Jones, Aleksa Vlajic, Evan Romano
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -4.5
no move
CloseM-OH -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -218 · BUF +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -4.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -5.5
model M-OH -5.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 165.5 matches the line
model 165.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | M-OH -4.5 | M-OH -5.5 | M-OH +1.0 | L BUF covered |
| Total | 165.5 | 165.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | M-OH 85.6 · BUF 80.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | M-OH -3.4 | M-OH -3.0 |
| 1H total | 77.5 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | M-OH 40.5 · BUF 37.1 | M-OH 38 · BUF 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| BUF | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
M-OH 6–2 BUFM-OH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · M-OH has won the last 4 meetings · M-OH 7-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | BUF 102 @ M-OH 105 | M-OH -10.5 | BUF W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | M-OH 84 @ BUF 69 | BUF +8.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | BUF 79 @ M-OH 93 | M-OH -11.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | M-OH 86 @ BUF 65 | BUF -1.5 | M-OH W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | M-OH 63 @ BUF 68 | BUF -8.5 | M-OH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
19 games played
Straight up
19-0
100% wins
Against the spread
13-6
68% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-5
74% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vsBUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vs MASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 6avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
over 14under 5avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Buffalo
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USM | W 85-79 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | vs GB | W 83-76 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ DEP | W 66-53 | +18.5 | W +31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 18 | vs UVM | W 94-90 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs VMI | W 78-70 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUCK | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ CAN | W 71-53 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs SBU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ UMBC | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | @ ECU | L 70-73 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @WMU | W 88-71 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 31 | @NIU | W 81-67 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | vsBALL | W 85-72 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ OHIO | L 80-91 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | vsKENT | L 81-87 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @M-OH | L 102-105 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | vsAKR | L 63-82 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | vsMASS | L 67-68 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @BGSU | W 89-78 | +7.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vsOHIO | L 83-95 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
+31.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
+2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
+8.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
−2.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+0.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−1.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+14.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
+7.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+6.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
−6.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
−3.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+7.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−10.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−2.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+18.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
−14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
−34.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+42.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
−2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
−15.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
+1.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+16.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−3.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+8.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+11.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
+14.5
13
vsKENT
KENTL 81-87
+2.5
17
@M-OH
M-OHL 102-105
+44.5
20
vsAKR
AKRL 63-82
−21.5
23
vsMASS
MASSL 67-68
−24.5
27
@BGSU
BGSUW 89-78
+16.5
31
vsOHIO
OHIOL 83-95
+21.5
over 12under 8avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
19-0 overall · 10-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Illinois85–61
- Wvs UMass86–84
- W@ Kent State107–101
- Wvs Buffalo105–102
- Wvs C Michigan100–61
3 days since their last game.
Buffalo
12-8 overall · 4-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ohio83–95
- W@ Bowling Green89–78
- Lvs UMass67–68
- Lvs Akron63–82
- L@ Miami OH102–105
3 days since their last game.