Newman Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
HARV -3.5✓ PENN covered by 5.5
HARV -3.5✓ PENN covered by 5.5Closing total139.5Under by 17.5
 PENN | This season | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| 15-11 | Record | 16-11 |
| 18-8 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 6-20 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 69–70 HARV · ✗ HARV (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 30 | 23 | 9 | 62 |
| HARV | 26 | 27 | 7 | 60 |
1st half: PENN 30, HARV 26 (PENN by 4). The model had HARV by 0.8 and a total of 64.9 (actual 56).
Team stats
| PENN | HARV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 25-62 40% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 2-2 100% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 43 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 38 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-15 | 1-3 |
| Cam Thrower G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-4 |
| AJ Levine G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Lueth F | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jay Jones G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Altman, Payton Kamin, William Kruse, Alex Massung, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi, Ethan Roberts
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Pigge G | 42 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 38 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Tey Barbour G | 37 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 4-12 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 37 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Robert Hinton G | 37 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-13 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Hunt G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dutch Dowdell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Avner Dror, Joseph Quartey, Alex Touomou, Kenan Parrish, Greg Cooper, Payton Pitts, Luca Ace-Nasteski
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -2.5
1 → HARV
CloseHARV -3.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open135.5
▲ 4
Close139.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +145 · HARV -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -2.5 · closed HARV -3.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel HARV -1.5
model HARV -1.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HARV -3.5 | HARV -1.5 | PENN +2.0 | W PENN covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 138.7 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | PENN 68.6 · HARV 70.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HARV -0.8 | PENN -4.0 |
| 1H total | 64.9 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | PENN 32.1 · HARV 32.9 | PENN 30 · HARV 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 0-10 0% |
| HARV | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PENN 6–4 HARVPENN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PENN 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | HARV 61 @ PENN 64 | PENN -1.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | PENN 63 @ HARV 64 | HARV -5.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | HARV 79 @ PENN 78 | PENN -2.5 | HARV W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | PENN 82 @ HARV 67 | HARV -7.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | PENN 70 @ HARV 74 | HARV -2.5 | HARV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
26 games played
Straight up
15-11
58% wins
Against the spread
18-8
69% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-20
23% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @ PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | @HARV | L 63-64 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs YALE | L 60-77 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | @ COLU | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @ COR | W 91-81 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRIN | W 61-60 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 13 | vsCOLU | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOR | W 82-76 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 169.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 21 | @YALE | L 70-74 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | vsDART | W 80-71 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsHARV | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | @BRWN | W 82-61 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
+4.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−10.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−0.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
+17.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−2.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
+7.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
+8.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
+5.5
27
vsDART
DARTW 80-71
+2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVW 64-61
+1.5
6
@BRWN
BRWNW 82-61
+22.5
covered 18didn’t cover 8avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
−23.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−20.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−14.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
−1.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−23.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
−5.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
−11.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
−6.5
27
vsDART
DARTW 80-71
−3.5
28
vsHARV
HARVW 64-61
−13.5
6
@BRWN
BRWNW 82-61
−3.5
over 6under 20avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Harvard
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vsDART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vsPRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 19 | vsPENN | W 64-63 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsCOR | L 79-86 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | @BRWN | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @YALE | W 67-65 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @DART | W 71-58 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 13 | vsBRWN | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 14 | vsYALE | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | @COR | W 73-54 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 155.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 27 | @PRIN | W 58-56 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 130.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 28 | @PENN | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | vsCOLU | W 81-71 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−4.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
−8.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
+8.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
+13.5
7
@DART
DARTW 71-58
+11.5
13
vsBRWN
BRWNW 56-53
−4.5
14
vsYALE
YALEL 75-76
+3.5
21
@COR
CORW 73-54
+23.5
27
@PRIN
PRINW 58-56
−1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 61-64
−1.5
6
vsCOLU
COLUW 81-71
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−23.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
+4.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
−4.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
−9.5
7
@DART
DARTW 71-58
−11.5
13
vsBRWN
BRWNW 56-53
−22.5
14
vsYALE
YALEL 75-76
+12.5
21
@COR
CORW 73-54
−28.5
27
@PRIN
PRINW 58-56
−16.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 61-64
−13.5
6
vsCOLU
COLUW 81-71
+15.5
over 10under 17avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
15-11 overall · 9-5 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Brown82–61
- Wvs Harvard64–61
- Wvs Dartmouth80–71
- L@ Yale70–74
- Wvs Cornell82–76
A week or more of rest.
Harvard
16-11 overall · 10-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Columbia81–71
- L@ Penn61–64
- W@ Princeton58–56
- W@ Cornell73–54
- Lvs Yale75–76
A week or more of rest.