Lavietes Pavilion · at Harvard · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -4.5✓ HARV covered by 3.5
YALE -4.5✓ HARV covered by 3.5Closing total138.5Over by 12.5
| YALE | This season | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| 17-4 | Record | 13-9 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 11-11 |
| 12-9 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 74–69 HARV · ✓ YALE (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 30 | 36 | 10 | 76 |
| HARV | 34 | 32 | 9 | 75 |
1st half: YALE 30, HARV 34 (HARV by 4). The model had YALE by 3.1 and a total of 66.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| YALE | HARV | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Celiscar F | 41 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Casey Simmons G | 39 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-2 |
| Samson Aletan C | 36 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 32 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Nick Townsend F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 26 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Riley Fox F | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Devon Arlington G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daniel Ogunyemi, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties II F | 42 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 9-15 | 4-9 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 41 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Robert Hinton G | 41 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Tey Barbour G | 40 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-8 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 40 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankie Mannino G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kenan Parrish F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Avner Dror, Joseph Quartey, Ryan Sullivan, Alex Touomou, Dutch Dowdell, Austin Hunt, Payton Pitts, Luca Ace-Nasteski, Greg Cooper
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -4.5
no move
CloseYALE -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -205 · HARV +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -4.5 · unchangedmodel YALE -5
model YALE -5
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -4.5 | YALE -5.1 | YALE +0.6 | L HARV covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 143.0 | Over 4.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YALE 74 · HARV 68.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -3.1 | HARV -4.0 |
| 1H total | 66.9 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | YALE 35 · HARV 31.9 | YALE 30 · HARV 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| HARV | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YALE 7–2 HARVYALE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · HARV has won the last 2 meetings · YALE 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | HARV 67 @ YALE 65 | YALE -11.5 | HARV W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | YALE 69 @ HARV 74 | HARV +10.5 | HARV W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | HARV 55 @ YALE 84 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | HARV 60 @ YALE 80 | YALE -11.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | YALE 78 @ HARV 65 | HARV +5.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
21 games played
Straight up
17-4
81% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs COR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vs COLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vs DART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsHARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
over 12under 9avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Harvard
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vsDART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vsPRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 19 | vsPENN | W 64-63 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsCOR | L 79-86 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | @BRWN | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @YALE | W 67-65 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 7 | @DART | W 71-58 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 13 | vsBRWN | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−4.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
−8.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
+8.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
+13.5
7
@DART
DARTW 71-58
+11.5
13
vsBRWN
BRWNW 56-53
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−23.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
+4.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
−4.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
−9.5
7
@DART
DARTW 71-58
−11.5
13
vsBRWN
BRWNW 56-53
−22.5
over 8under 14avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
17-4 overall · 7-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Dartmouth83–70
- W@ Howard87–81
- Wvs Brown81–69
- Lvs Harvard65–67
- Wvs Dartmouth83–68
1 day since their last game.
Harvard
13-9 overall · 7-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown56–53
- W@ Dartmouth71–58
- W@ Yale67–65
- W@ Brown69–59
- Lvs Cornell79–86
1 day since their last game.