Jadwin Gymnasium · at Princeton · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -7.5✓ PRIN covered by 23.5
YALE -7.5✓ PRIN covered by 23.5Closing total142.5Under by 6.5
| YALE | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 10-2 | Record | 4-11 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 10-5 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 78–68 PRIN · ✗ YALE (81%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 22 | 38 | 60 |
| PRIN | 22 | 54 | 76 |
1st half: YALE 22, PRIN 22 (tied). The model had YALE by 6.0 and a total of 68.7 (actual 44).
Team stats
| YALE | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-65 35% | Field goals | 22-48 46% |
| 5-29 17% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 21-23 91% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 6 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 37 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Samson Aletan C | 27 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Casey Simmons G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-7 |
| Riley Fox F | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-8 |
| Devon Arlington G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Tsai, Daniel Ogunyemi, Alvin Loving, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Stanton G | 38 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Jackson Hicke G | 36 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-5 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 35 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Landon Clark G | 21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| CJ Happy F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalen Davis G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-5 |
| Jacob Huggins F | 21 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Kutzler, Cash McSweeney, Jake Sussberg, Ryan Mandes, Peyton Seals, Cooper Mueller, Zio Kim, Jacob Hammond
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -8.5
1 → PRIN
CloseYALE -7.5
1 pt toward PRIN
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -345 · PRIN +275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -8.5 · closed YALE -7.5 · moved 1 toward PRINmodel YALE -10
model YALE -10
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -7.5 | YALE -9.9 | YALE +2.4 | L PRIN covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 146.6 | Over 4.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | YALE 78.3 · PRIN 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -6.0 | PK |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 44 |
| 1H projected score | YALE 37.4 · PRIN 31.3 | YALE 22 · PRIN 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| PRIN | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
YALE 8–3 PRINYALE leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 3 meetings · YALE 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | PRIN 57 vs YALE 59 | YALE -7.5 | PRIN W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | PRIN 57 @ YALE 84 | YALE -6.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | YALE 77 @ PRIN 70 | PRIN +1.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | YALE 62 @ PRIN 73 | PRIN -4.5 | PRIN W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | PRIN 64 @ YALE 70 | YALE -3.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
over 8under 4avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
15 games played
Straight up
4-11
27% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @AKR | L 69-104 | +13.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUCK | W 73-63 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | @ KU | L 57-76 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | @ IONA | L 69-89 | +2.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | vs NE | W 70-57 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 24 | vs BRAD | L 64-88 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TEM | L 75-79 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vsUVM | L 74-79 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs JOES | L 58-60 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONM | L 58-63 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ LUC | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 10 | vs MRMK | L 56-59 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 22 | @TEM | L 61-65 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsUVM | W 75-69 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 5 | vs PENN | W 78-76 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+0.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
+3.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
+0.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+1.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−5.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
+4.5
30
vsUVM
UVMW 75-69
+9.5
5
vsPENN
PENNW 78-76
−1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
26
vsUVM
UVML 74-79
+12.5
30
vsJOES
JOESL 58-60
−28.5
3
@MONM
MONML 58-63
−18.5
6
@LUC
LUCL 68-73
+4.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKL 56-59
−19.5
22
@TEM
TEML 61-65
−13.5
30
vsUVM
UVMW 75-69
+7.5
5
vsPENN
PENNW 78-76
+8.5
over 8under 7avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
10-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Brown70–53
- L@ Alabama78–102
- Wvs UAlbany93–82
- Wvs UIC80–66
- W@ Vermont77–74
5 days since their last game.
Princeton
4-11 overall · 1-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn78–76
- Wvs Vermont75–69
- L@ Temple61–65
- Lvs Merrimack56–59
- L@ Loyola Chicago68–73
5 days since their last game.