Baxter Arena · at Omaha · Conference game
Closing line
NDSU -5.5✓ OMA covered by 3.5
NDSU -5.5✓ OMA covered by 3.5Closing total147.5Over by 6.5
| NDSU | This season | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 4-10 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 4-10 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 79–75 OMA · ✓ NDSU (66%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| OMA | 44 | 32 | 76 |
1st half: NDSU 32, OMA 44 (OMA by 12). The model had NDSU by 2.9 and a total of 72.1 (actual 76).
Team stats
| NDSU | OMA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-54 56% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 21 5 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevian Carson G | 38 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-4 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 35 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-6 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 25 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Riley Massey G | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Max Majerle G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carson Smith G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Emil Skytt, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn G | 38 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 32 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Paul Djobet F | 30 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 7-14 | 3-7 |
| Christian Richardson C | 30 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Lance Waddles G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 28 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brock Scholl F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Valentino Simon F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Skradis, Kamryn Thomas, Rob Matos, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar, Benji Nelson, Julian Margrave
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -4.5
1 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -5.5
1 pt toward NDSU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -250 · OMA +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -4.5 · closed NDSU -5.5 · moved 1 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -4.5
model NDSU -4.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 | NDSU -4.7 | OMA +0.8 | W OMA covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 154.0 | Over 6.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NDSU 79.4 · OMA 74.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NDSU -2.9 | OMA -12.0 |
| 1H total | 72.1 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | NDSU 37.5 · OMA 34.6 | NDSU 32 · OMA 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| OMA | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
NDSU 5–3 OMANDSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · OMA has won the last 2 meetings · NDSU 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NDSU 74 @ OMA 85 | OMA +1.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | OMA 85 @ NDSU 80 | NDSU -12.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | OMA 79 @ NDSU 81 | NDSU -3.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | NDSU 92 @ OMA 96 | OMA -1.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | OMA 58 @ NDSU 84 | NDSU -8.5 | NDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vs SDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs ORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
over 9under 6avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Omaha
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
4-10
29% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @ SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsKC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs UND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 10avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
over 8under 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
10-5 overall · 3-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas City97–73
- Wvs Oral Roberts79–77
- Wvs South Dakota84–61
- L@ UTEP66–76
- Lvs UC Irvine73–74
2 days since their last game.
Omaha
4-10 overall · 1-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Dakota90–79
- Lvs Kansas City66–73
- L@ S Dakota St69–84
- L@ Oregon57–80
- W@ Lamar85–82
2 days since their last game.