Burr Gymnasium · at Howard
Closing line
YALE -6.5✓ HOW covered by 0.5
YALE -6.5✓ HOW covered by 0.5Closing total147.5Over by 20.5
| YALE | This season | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| 15-4 | Record | 11-9 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 8-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 79–69 HOW · ✓ YALE (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 38 | 33 | 16 | 87 |
| HOW | 32 | 39 | 10 | 81 |
1st half: YALE 38, HOW 32 (YALE by 6). The model had YALE by 5.7 and a total of 69.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| YALE | HOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 25-34 74% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 43 17 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 41 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 40 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Samson Aletan C | 35 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Casey Simmons G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Riley Fox F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Devon Arlington G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeannot Basima, Daniel Ogunyemi, Jack Sullivan, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harris G | 43 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-15 | 2-6 |
| Cam Gillus G | 37 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 28 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Ose Okojie G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Alex Cotton G | 23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 32 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ed Holland III, Jeremiah Johnson, River Smith, Julian Johnson, Shane Frazier, BJ Powell, Stefan Isailovic
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -6.5
ModelYALE -9.4
Model edgeYALE +2.9
L HOW covered
Total
Market147.5
Model148.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
YALE 78.7 · HOW 69.3
YALE 87 · HOW 81
Win probability
YALE 79%
1st half
Spread
YALE -5.7
YALE -6.0
Total
69.3
70 points
Projected score
YALE 37.5 · HOW 31.8
YALE 38 · HOW 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -9.5
3 → HOW
CloseYALE -6.5
3 pts toward HOW
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
YALE -285 · HOW +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -9.5 · closed YALE -6.5 · moved 3 toward HOWmodel YALE -9.5
model YALE -9.5
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| HOW | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
YALE 3–0 HOWYALE leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 3 meetings · YALE 3-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | HOW 65 @ YALE 93 | YALE -14.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | YALE 86 @ HOW 78 | HOW +7.5 | YALE W |
| Nov 30, 2022-23 | HOW 40 @ YALE 86 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
19 games played
Straight up
15-4
79% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs COR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vs COLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vs DART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs HARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
over 10under 9avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Howard
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs NIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @ DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | @ NU | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ SCST | L 57-58 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @ UMES | L 57-69 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vs DSU | W 84-58 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 129.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCCU | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs MORG | L 77-78 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs NORF | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 2 | @ COPP | W 72-53 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSCST | W 85-57 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−0.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−9.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−14.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+17.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+11.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
−15.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+20.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
+4.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−8.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−29.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−4.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+12.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+10.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
+6.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+1.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
−21.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+0.5
over 8under 12avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
15-4 overall · 6-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown81–69
- Lvs Harvard65–67
- Wvs Dartmouth83–68
- W@ Penn77–60
- Wvs Columbia91–74
3 days since their last game.
Howard
11-9 overall · 5-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State85–57
- W@ Coppin St72–53
- Wvs Norfolk St88–60
- Lvs Morgan St77–78
- W@ NC Central83–69
2 days since their last game.