John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -11.5✓ HARV covered by 13.5
YALE -11.5✓ HARV covered by 13.5Closing total141.5Under by 9.5
 HARV | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 14-3 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HARV 67–78 YALE · ✗ YALE (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| YALE | 21 | 44 | 65 |
1st half: HARV 29, YALE 21 (HARV by 8). The model had YALE by 6.6 and a total of 67.6 (actual 50).
Team stats
| HARV | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-47 47% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties II F | 40 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-6 |
| Robert Hinton G | 39 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 9-16 | 2-2 |
| Tey Barbour G | 37 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kenan Parrish F | 14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Avner Dror, Joseph Quartey, Ryan Sullivan, Alex Touomou, Dutch Dowdell, Austin Hunt, Payton Pitts, Luca Ace-Nasteski, Greg Cooper
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 35 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 33 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 32 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Samson Aletan C | 28 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Casey Simmons G | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Riley Fox F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Devon Arlington G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daniel Ogunyemi, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -12.5
1 → HARV
CloseYALE -11.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
HARV +575 · YALE -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -12.5 · closed YALE -11.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel YALE -11.5 matches the line
model YALE -11.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -11.5 | YALE -11.3 | HARV +0.2 | W HARV covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 144.3 | Over 2.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | HARV 66.5 · YALE 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -6.6 | HARV -8.0 |
| 1H total | 67.6 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | HARV 30.5 · YALE 37.1 | HARV 29 · YALE 21 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HARV 1–7 YALEYALE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · HARV 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | YALE 69 @ HARV 74 | HARV +10.5 | HARV W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | HARV 55 @ YALE 84 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | HARV 60 @ YALE 80 | YALE -11.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | YALE 78 @ HARV 65 | HARV +5.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 3, 2022-23 | YALE 68 @ HARV 57 | HARV +2.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Harvard
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vs DART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vs PRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 19 | vs PENN | W 64-63 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs COR | L 79-86 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | @ BRWN | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−4.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
−8.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
+8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−23.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
+4.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
−4.5
over 8under 11avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
17 games played
Straight up
14-3
82% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vsDART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
over 9under 8avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Harvard
10-9 overall · 4-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Brown69–59
- Lvs Cornell79–86
- Wvs Penn64–63
- Wvs Princeton87–80
- W@ Columbia79–54
1 day since their last game.
Yale
14-3 overall · 5-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dartmouth83–68
- W@ Penn77–60
- Wvs Columbia91–74
- Wvs Cornell102–68
- L@ Princeton60–76
1 day since their last game.