Lavietes Pavilion · at Harvard · Conference game
Closing line
HARV -5.5✓ PENN covered by 4.5
HARV -5.5✓ PENN covered by 4.5Closing total150.5Under by 23.5
 PENN | This season | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 8-8 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 71–76 HARV · ✓ HARV (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 26 | 37 | 63 |
| HARV | 31 | 33 | 64 |
1st half: PENN 26, HARV 31 (HARV by 5). The model had HARV by 3.0 and a total of 68.9 (actual 57).
Team stats
| PENN | HARV | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-54 41% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 4-8 50% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Levine G | 37 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| TJ Power F | 36 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 35 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 9-15 | 3-7 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Cam Thrower G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jay Jones G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Johnnie Walter, Payton Kamin, William Kruse, Ryan Altman, Michelangelo Oberti, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Niklas Polonowski, Chris Ubochi
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hinton G | 37 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-4 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 35 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-4 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tey Barbour G | 33 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-8 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 27 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Sullivan F | 12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Dutch Dowdell G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Avner Dror, Joseph Quartey, Alex Touomou, Greg Cooper, Austin Hunt, Kenan Parrish, Payton Pitts
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHARV -5.5
ModelHARV -5.2
Model edgePENN +0.3
W PENN covered
Total
Market150.5
Model147.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
PENN 70.9 · HARV 76.2
PENN 63 · HARV 64
Win probability
HARV 68%
1st half
Spread
HARV -3.0
HARV -5.0
Total
68.9
57 points
Projected score
PENN 33 · HARV 35.9
PENN 26 · HARV 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -4.5
1 → HARV
CloseHARV -5.5
1 pt toward HARV
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +190 · HARV -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -4.5 · closed HARV -5.5 · moved 1 toward HARVmodel HARV -5
model HARV -5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| HARV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PENN 5–3 HARVPENN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · PENN 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | HARV 79 @ PENN 78 | PENN -2.5 | HARV W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | PENN 82 @ HARV 67 | HARV -7.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | PENN 70 @ HARV 74 | HARV -2.5 | HARV W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | HARV 70 @ PENN 61 | PENN -3.5 | HARV W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | PENN 80 @ HARV 72 | HARV -1.5 | PENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @ PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
over 6under 9avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Harvard
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vsDART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vsPRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
over 7under 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
8-7 overall · 2-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Dartmouth84–74
- Wvs Brown81–73
- L@ Princeton76–78
- Wvs NJIT80–61
- L@ George Mason79–83
2 days since their last game.
Harvard
8-8 overall · 2-1 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Princeton87–80
- W@ Columbia79–54
- Lvs Dartmouth68–76
- W@ Colgate78–69
- L@ St John's59–85
2 days since their last game.