Leede Arena · at Dartmouth · Conference game
Closing line
HARV -1.5✓ HARV covered by 11.5
HARV -1.5✓ HARV covered by 11.5Closing total140.5Under by 11.5
| HARV | This season | DART |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 8-10 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 8-12 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HARV 73–71 DART · ✓ HARV (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 32 | 39 | 71 |
| DART | 30 | 28 | 58 |
1st half: HARV 32, DART 30 (HARV by 2). The model had HARV by 0.9 and a total of 67.3 (actual 62).
Team stats
| HARV | DART | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 47% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 12-13 92% |
| 37 5 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 19 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Batties II F | 37 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Robert Hinton G | 36 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Ben Eisendrath G | 36 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Tey Barbour G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 34 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankie Mannino G | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dutch Dowdell G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kenan Parrish F | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Hunt, Greg Cooper, Alex Touomou, Joseph Quartey, Payton Pitts, Avner Dror
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Williams F | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7-16 | 4-12 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 33 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 30 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Connor Amundsen G | 30 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Munro F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron McNamee G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cam Hiatt G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Abusara G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ben Brown G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shanon Simango, Tyler Garrett, Patrick Tivnan Jr., Khai Lockwood
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHARV -1.5
ModelHARV -1.3
Model edgeDART +0.2
L HARV covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
HARV 72.6 · DART 71.3
HARV 71 · DART 58
Win probability
HARV 54%
1st half
Spread
HARV -0.9
HARV -2.0
Total
67.3
62 points
Projected score
HARV 34.1 · DART 33.2
HARV 32 · DART 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHARV -1.5
no move
CloseHARV -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HARV -130 · DART +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HARV -1.5 · unchangedmodel HARV -1.5 matches the line
model HARV -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| DART | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
HARV 3–6 DARTDART leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · HARV 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | DART 76 @ HARV 68 | HARV -7.5 | DART W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | DART 58 @ HARV 66 | HARV -1.5 | HARV W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | HARV 56 @ DART 76 | DART -2.5 | DART W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | HARV 69 @ DART 76 | DART +6.5 | DART W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | DART 59 @ HARV 77 | HARV -10.5 | HARV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Harvard
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-12
40% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs UNH | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs NE | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ ARMY | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ MRST | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs BU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ BC | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs BRY | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 3 | @ MASS | L 71-78 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | @ FUR | L 69-79 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | vs HC | W 81-53 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 23 | @ SJU | L 59-85 | +26.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLG | W 78-69 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 5 | vsDART | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLU | W 79-54 | +5.5 | W +30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | vs PRIN | W 87-80 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 19 | vs PENN | W 64-63 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs COR | L 79-86 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | @ BRWN | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @ YALE | W 67-65 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
−4.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−22.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
+16.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
+8.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+8.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
−5.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−4.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
−1.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
−5.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
+17.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
+0.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+12.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−15.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
+30.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+2.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−4.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
−8.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
+8.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
+13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsUNH
UNHW 86-75
+13.5
11
vsNE
NEL 60-77
−7.5
15
@ARMY
ARMYW 75-52
−19.5
16
@MRST
MRSTW 56-54
−20.5
19
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+21.5
22
vsBU
BUL 74-75
+12.5
26
@BC
BCL 60-73
−5.5
29
vsBRY
BRYW 56-53
−28.5
3
@MASS
MASSL 71-78
+5.5
6
@FUR
FURL 69-79
+6.5
20
vsHC
HCW 81-53
−2.5
23
@SJU
SJUL 59-85
−1.5
28
@COLG
COLGW 78-69
+5.5
5
vsDART
DARTL 68-76
−4.5
10
@COLU
COLUW 79-54
−12.5
17
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-80
+33.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 64-63
−23.5
24
vsCOR
CORL 79-86
+4.5
30
@BRWN
BRWNW 69-59
−4.5
31
@YALE
YALEW 67-65
−9.5
over 8under 12avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dartmouth
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vsMRST | L 56-75 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 12 | @BRY | L 75-82 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | vs APP | L 77-85 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 29 | @ SPU | W 87-61 | +3.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vsUNH | W 69-68 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ WYO | L 80-93 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | @ CSU | L 55-76 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vsBU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @HC | W 89-64 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ SHU | L 63-85 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | @ FLA | L 72-94 | +35.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 5 | @HARV | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @COR | W 102-91 | +9.5 | W +20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | vsPENN | L 74-84 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | vsPRIN | W 71-69 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vsCOLU | L 69-79 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | @YALE | L 68-83 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | @BRWN | W 77-70 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−20.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
−5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
−6.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+29.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−7.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+1.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−0.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
+10.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+23.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−23.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+13.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
+15.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+20.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−12.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
+3.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−7.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
+0.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vsMRST
MRSTL 56-75
−7.5
12
@BRY
BRYL 75-82
+5.5
16
vsAPP
APPL 77-85
+21.5
29
@SPU
SPUW 87-61
+3.5
3
vsUNH
UNHW 69-68
−10.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 80-93
+16.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 55-76
−22.5
13
vsBU
BUW 77-64
−3.5
16
@HC
HCW 89-64
+5.5
19
@SHU
SHUL 63-85
−7.5
29
@FLA
FLAL 72-94
+5.5
5
@HARV
HARVW 76-68
−4.5
10
@COR
CORW 102-91
+17.5
17
vsPENN
PENNL 74-84
−5.5
19
vsPRIN
PRINW 71-69
−7.5
24
vsCOLU
COLUL 69-79
−8.5
30
@YALE
YALEL 68-83
−4.5
31
@BRWN
BRWNW 77-70
+4.5
over 8under 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Harvard
11-9 overall · 5-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Yale67–65
- W@ Brown69–59
- Lvs Cornell79–86
- Wvs Penn64–63
- Wvs Princeton87–80
A week or more of rest.
Dartmouth
8-10 overall · 4-3 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Brown77–70
- L@ Yale68–83
- Lvs Columbia69–79
- Wvs Princeton71–69
- Lvs Penn74–84
A week or more of rest.