Dartmouth Big Green at Cornell Big Red: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 10, 2:00 PM ETNewman Arena · at Cornell · Conference game

#251DARTDartmouth102▲ winner

Final

#179CORCornell91final

Closing lineCOR -9.5✓ DART covered by 20.5

Closing total175.5Over by 17.5

Season records: Dartmouth and Cornell
DART	This season	COR
5-7	Record	5-7
6-6	ATS	4-8
6-6	O/U	9-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: DART 84–91 COR · ✗ COR (73%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
DART	55	47	102
COR	51	40	91

1st half: DART 55, COR 51 (DART by 4). The model had COR by 4.0 and a total of 81.6 (actual 106).

Team stats

DART		COR
38-68 56%	Field goals	31-65 48%
14-30 47%	3-pointers	9-32 28%
12-19 63%	Free throws	20-24 83%
33 8 off	Rebounds	39 12 off
21	Assists	22
7	Steals	2
5	Blocks	3
5	Turnovers	12
19	Fouls	21
42	Points in paint	42
11	Fast-break points	17

Players

DART	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jayden Williams F	30	24	3	0	7-13	7-12
Connor Amundsen G	29	23	2	10	9-18	2-7
Cam Hiatt G	29	2	2	3	0-1	0-1
Brandon Mitchell-Day F	27	17	10	2	6-8	1-2
Jackson Munro F	19	13	2	2	5-8	3-4
Bench
Cameron McNamee G	27	0	5	2	0-6	0-3
Nikola Abusara G	24	13	3	1	6-6	1-1
Anton Strelnikov C	9	8	2	0	4-7	0-0
Patrick Tivnan Jr. F	6	2	1	1	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Shanon Simango, Khai Lockwood, Tyler Garrett, Kareem Thomas, Ben Brown

COR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jake Fiegen G	34	33	6	2	12-20	5-11
Cooper Noard G	33	26	3	4	7-15	3-9
Adam Hinton G	26	9	6	6	3-6	0-0
Jacob Beccles G	19	2	1	2	1-3	0-2
Kaspar Sepp F	13	1	1	3	0-0	0-0
Bench
Josh Baldwin G	24	10	6	2	4-8	0-1
Gioacchino Panzini F	17	5	4	0	2-4	0-1
Mateen Rafiq G	16	2	5	3	1-4	0-3
Ian Imegwu F	10	3	4	0	1-4	1-4
DJ Nix F	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
DaMaryon Fishburn G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: AJ LaBeau, Blake Lecklitner, Ryan Burbach, Jax Abalos, Elijah Griffin, AJ Rodriguez, Ty Iwanonkiw, Anthony Nimani, Corbin Zentner

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	COR -9.5	COR -7.0	DART +2.5	W DART covered
Total	175.5	174.4	Under 1.1	L Over
Projected score	—	DART 83.7 · COR 90.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	COR -4.0	DART -4.0
1H total	81.6	106
1H projected score	DART 38.8 · COR 42.8	DART 55 · COR 51

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DART WWLWW	6-6	50%	5-3	4-3
COR LLWWL	4-8	33%	0-3	3-3

Venue/role: DART away, as underdog; COR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
DART UOUOU	6-6	50%	5-7
COR OOUOO	9-3	75%	5-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DART	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
COR	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22

DART 2–7 CORCOR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DART 4-5 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 15, 2024-25	DART 71 vs COR 87	COR -5.5	COR W
Feb 15, 2024-25	COR 49 @ DART 88	DART +3.5	DART W
Jan 31, 2024-25	DART 64 @ COR 76	COR -10.5	COR W
Feb 17, 2023-24	DART 80 @ COR 89	COR -18	DART W
Feb 2, 2023-24	COR 56 @ DART 53	DART +10.5	DART W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Dartmouth

12 games played

Straight up

5-7

42% wins

Against the spread

6-6

50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-6

50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-742%

L L L W W L L W W L L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-650%

L L L W L W L W W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-650%

U O O O U O U U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 9	vsMRST	L 56-75	-1.5	L −20.5	138.5	U 131
Nov 12	@BRY	L 75-82	+1.5	L −5.5	151.5	O 157
Nov 16	vsAPP	L 77-85	+1.5	L −6.5	140.5	O 162
Nov 29	@SPU	W 87-61	+3.5	W +29.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 3	vsUNH	W 69-68	-8.5	L −7.5	147.5	U 137
Dec 6	@WYO	L 80-93	+14.5	W +1.5	156.5	O 173
Dec 9	@CSU	L 55-76	+20.5	L −0.5	153.5	U 131
Dec 13	vsBU	W 77-64	-2.5	W +10.5	144.5	U 141
Dec 16	@HC	W 89-64	-1.5	W +23.5	147.5	O 153
Dec 19	@SHU	L 63-85	-1.5	L −23.5	155.5	U 148
Dec 29	@FLA	L 72-94	+35.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 166
Jan 5	@HARV	W 76-68	+7.5	W +15.5	148.5	U 144

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MRST

L 56-75

−20.5

BRY

L 75-82

−5.5

APP

L 77-85

−6.5

SPU

W 87-61

+29.5

UNH

W 69-68

−7.5

WYO

L 80-93

+1.5

CSU

L 55-76

−0.5

W 77-64

+10.5

W 89-64

+23.5

SHU

L 63-85

−23.5

FLA

L 72-94

+13.5

HARV

W 76-68

+15.5

covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MRST

L 56-75

−7.5

BRY

L 75-82

+5.5

APP

L 77-85

+21.5

SPU

W 87-61

+3.5

UNH

W 69-68

−10.5

WYO

L 80-93

+16.5

CSU

L 55-76

−22.5

W 77-64

−3.5

W 89-64

+5.5

SHU

L 63-85

−7.5

FLA

L 72-94

+5.5

HARV

W 76-68

−4.5

over 6under 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Cornell

12 games played

Straight up

5-7

42% wins

Against the spread

4-8

33% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-3

75% overs · avg +17.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-742%

L L W W W W L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-833%

L L W L L W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-375%

O U O U O O O O O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@KENT	L 102-110	+6.5	L −1.5	164.5	O 212
Nov 9	@ILST	L 65-76	+6.5	L −4.5	164.5	U 141
Nov 13	@LAF	W 97-78	-4.5	W +14.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 18	vsARMY	W 86-73	-17.5	L −4.5	164.5	U 159
Nov 20	vsCOLG	W 95-94	-5.5	L −4.5	161.5	O 189
Nov 30	@BUCK	W 101-72	-5.5	W +23.5	159.5	O 173
Dec 2	@GMU	L 81-99	+10.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 180
Dec 3	@TOW	L 80-93	+6.5	L −6.5	154.5	O 173
Dec 7	@SAM	L 90-93	+2.5	L −0.5	166.5	O 183
Dec 21	@UALB	W 83-75	-6.5	W +1.5	167.5	U 158
Dec 29	@MSU	L 97-114	+23.5	W +6.5	160.5	O 211
Jan 5	vsCOLU	L 99-104	-3.5	L −8.5	170.5	O 203

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

−1.5

ILST

L 65-76

−4.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

ARMY

W 86-73

−4.5

COLG

W 95-94

−4.5

BUCK

W 101-72

+23.5

GMU

L 81-99

−7.5

TOW

L 80-93

−6.5

SAM

L 90-93

−0.5

UALB

W 83-75

+1.5

MSU

L 97-114

+6.5

COLU

L 99-104

−8.5

covered 4didn’t cover 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

+47.5

ILST

L 65-76

−23.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

ARMY

W 86-73

−5.5

COLG

W 95-94

+27.5

BUCK

W 101-72

+13.5

GMU

L 81-99

+24.5

TOW

L 80-93

+18.5

SAM

L 90-93

+16.5

UALB

W 83-75

−9.5

MSU

L 97-114

+50.5

COLU

L 99-104

+32.5

over 9under 3avg +17.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Dartmouth Big Green at Cornell Big Red

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Dartmouth

Cornell

Dartmouth

Cornell