John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -9.5✓ PENN covered by 5.5
YALE -9.5✓ PENN covered by 5.5Closing total150.5Under by 6.5
 PENN | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 12-10 | Record | 18-4 |
| 14-8 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 6-16 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 71–82 YALE · ✓ YALE (83%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 40 | 30 | 70 |
| YALE | 35 | 39 | 74 |
1st half: PENN 40, YALE 35 (PENN by 5). The model had YALE by 6.5 and a total of 71.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| PENN | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 10-19 53% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 37 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 33 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-16 | 4-8 |
| Ethan Roberts G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-2 |
| AJ Levine G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jay Jones G | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Lucas Lueth F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Thrower G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michelangelo Oberti F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Payton Kamin, William Kruse, Ryan Altman, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Niklas Polonowski, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Celiscar F | 38 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Samson Aletan C | 31 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 31 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Casey Simmons G | 29 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Devon Arlington G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daniel Ogunyemi, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Jeannot Basima, Nick Townsend
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -9.5
no move
CloseYALE -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +360 · YALE -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -9.5 · unchangedmodel YALE -11
model YALE -11
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -9.5 | YALE -11.0 | YALE +1.5 | L PENN covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 152.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PENN 70.8 · YALE 81.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -6.5 | PENN -5.0 |
| 1H total | 71.5 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | PENN 32.5 · YALE 38.9 | PENN 40 · YALE 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
PENN 2–8 YALEYALE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 5 meetings · PENN 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | YALE 77 @ PENN 60 | PENN +6.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | PENN 71 @ YALE 72 | YALE -16.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | YALE 90 @ PENN 61 | PENN +11.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 16, 2023-24 | YALE 76 @ PENN 62 | PENN +5.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | PENN 58 @ YALE 74 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-16
27% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @ PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | @ HARV | L 63-64 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsYALE | L 60-77 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | @ COLU | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @ COR | W 91-81 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRIN | W 61-60 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 13 | vsCOLU | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOR | W 82-76 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 169.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
+4.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−10.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−0.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
+17.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−2.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
+7.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
−23.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−20.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−14.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
−1.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−23.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
−5.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
−11.5
over 6under 16avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
22 games played
Straight up
18-4
82% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vsDART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsHARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HARV | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
+12.5
over 13under 9avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
12-10 overall · 6-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cornell82–76
- Wvs Columbia76–67
- Wvs Princeton61–60
- W@ Cornell91–81
- L@ Columbia67–72
A week or more of rest.
Yale
18-4 overall · 8-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Harvard76–75
- W@ Dartmouth83–70
- W@ Howard87–81
- Wvs Brown81–69
- Lvs Harvard65–67
A week or more of rest.