PPG Paints Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SLU -4.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5
SLU -4.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5Closing total145.5Under by 6.5
 DAY | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-10 | Record | 27-4 |
| 14-18 | ATS | 19-12 |
| 11-21 | O/U | 15-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 74–78 SLU · ✗ SLU (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| SLU | 36 | 33 | 69 |
1st half: DAY 33, SLU 36 (SLU by 3). The model had SLU by 2.5 and a total of 71.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| DAY | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-55 35% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 24-29 83% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 17 | Fouls | 23 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amal L'Etang F | 37 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Javon Bennett G | 36 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 25 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-4 |
| Keonte Jones G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 27 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Bryce Heard G | 24 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Conner F | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jaron McKie, Sean Pouedet, Adam Njie, Damon Friery, Malcolm Thomas, Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Avila C | 34 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| Quentin Jones G | 31 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Amari McCottry G | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Dion Brown G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Trey Green G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Kellen Thames G | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Paul Otieno F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Badara Diakite, Luke Laczkowski, Cam Hutson, Dylan Warlick, Jax Kerr, Isaac Holmes, Jaden Schertz, Kalu Anya
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -4.5
no move
CloseSLU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 4
Close145.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
DAY +180 · SLU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -4.5 · unchangedmodel SLU -4.5 matches the line
model SLU -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SLU -4.5 | SLU -4.4 | DAY +0.1 | W DAY covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 152.3 | Over 6.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DAY 73.9 · SLU 78.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SLU -2.5 | SLU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 71.2 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | DAY 34.3 · SLU 36.8 | DAY 33 · SLU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| SLU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DAY 7–3 SLUDAY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DAY 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | SLU 62 @ DAY 77 | DAY +3.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | DAY 71 @ SLU 102 | SLU -9.5 | SLU W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | SLU 67 @ DAY 75 | DAY -6.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | DAY 71 @ SLU 63 | SLU -2.5 | DAY W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | DAY 100 @ SLU 83 | SLU +9.5 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
32 games played
Straight up
22-10
69% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-21
34% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @ LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @ DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vs URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | vs SBU | W 72-70 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | @ VCU | L 73-99 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | vs DAV | W 70-59 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | @ GMU | W 82-67 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vsDUQ | W 78-66 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 24 | vsSLU | W 77-62 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 27 | @GW | W 68-66 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 3 | @ RICH | W 65-60 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | vsVCU | L 62-68 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 13 | vsSBU | W 68-63 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−5.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
−17.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
+5.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+17.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
+5.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
+18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
+4.5
3
@RICH
RICHW 65-60
−0.5
6
vsVCU
VCUL 62-68
−7.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 68-63
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−2.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
+24.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
−11.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+11.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
−4.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
−18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
−18.5
3
@RICH
RICHW 65-60
−19.5
6
vsVCU
VCUL 62-68
−16.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 68-63
−10.5
over 11under 21avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
31 games played
Straight up
27-4
87% wins
Against the spread
19-12
61% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-16
48% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vsBCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vsJOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsFOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vsRICH | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @DUQ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @SBU | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | vsGW | W 79-76 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 30 | vsDAY | W 102-71 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | @DAV | W 91-82 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | vsLAS | W 82-58 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 13 | @LUC | W 86-59 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 17 | @URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsVCU | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 24 | @DAY | L 62-77 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | vsDUQ | W 91-76 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | vsLUC | W 79-65 | -21.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 7 | @GMU | L 57-86 | -7.5 | L −36.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 13 | vsGW | W 88-81 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
+10.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−4.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
+26.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−7.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+0.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
+1.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
+9.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
+5.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+1.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−7.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 57-86
−36.5
13
vsGW
GWW 88-81
+0.5
covered 19didn’t cover 12avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
−11.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−7.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
−0.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−12.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+21.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
−13.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
−10.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
+5.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
−1.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+6.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−11.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 57-86
−3.5
13
vsGW
GWW 88-81
+10.5
over 15under 16avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
22-10 overall · 13-6 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Bonaventure68–63
- Lvs VCU62–68
- W@ Richmond65–60
- W@ G Washington68–66
- Wvs Saint Louis77–62
1 day since their last game.
Saint Louis
27-4 overall · 16-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington88–81
- L@ George Mason57–86
- Wvs Loyola Chicago79–65
- Wvs Duquesne91–76
- L@ Dayton62–77
1 day since their last game.