UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -2.5✓ DAY covered by 3.5
DAY -2.5✓ DAY covered by 3.5Closing total152.5Under by 16.5
| DAY | This season | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 7-7 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 5-9 |
| 6-10 | O/U | 12-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 81–77 DUQ · ✓ DAY (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| DUQ | 24 | 41 | 65 |
1st half: DAY 33, DUQ 24 (DAY by 9). The model had DAY by 2.6 and a total of 73.9 (actual 57).
Team stats
| DAY | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-46 43% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 23-28 82% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones G | 34 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Javon Bennett G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4-15 | 2-7 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 27 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Bryce Heard G | 26 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Conner F | 27 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Damon Friery F | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Evan Dickey, Adam Njie, Malcolm Thomas, Jordan Derkack, Amal L'Etang, Will Maxwell, Jaron McKie, Makai Grant
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-7 |
| David Dixon F | 28 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Crawford G | 27 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jakub Necas F | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Williams F | 22 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Jake DiMichele G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| John Hugley IV F | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Hall G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Maximus Edwards G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dom Aekins G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Lazar Milosevic F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lucas Prolla, Frederik Jellum, Arness Lawson, Stef van Bussel, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAY -2.5
ModelDAY -4.2
Model edgeDAY +1.7
W DAY covered
Total
Market152.5
Model157.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
L Under
Projected score
DAY 81.1 · DUQ 76.9
DAY 71 · DUQ 65
Win probability
DAY 64%
1st half
Spread
DAY -2.6
DAY -9.0
Total
73.9
57 points
Projected score
DAY 38.3 · DUQ 35.7
DAY 33 · DUQ 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -3.5
1 → DUQ
CloseDAY -2.5
1 pt toward DUQ
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DAY -148 · DUQ +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -3.5 · closed DAY -2.5 · moved 1 toward DUQmodel DAY -4
model DAY -4
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| DUQ | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DAY 7–1 DUQDAY leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DAY has won the last 2 meetings · DAY 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | DUQ 76 @ DAY 77 | DAY -10.5 | DUQ W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | DAY 82 @ DUQ 62 | DUQ +3.5 | DAY W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | DUQ 65 vs DAY 57 | DAY -7.5 | DUQ W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | DUQ 59 @ DAY 75 | DAY -7.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | DAY 72 @ DUQ 62 | DUQ -1.5 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @ LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
over 6under 10avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duquesne
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-2
86% overs · avg +12.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NIA | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHU | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs QUC | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ VILL | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs L-MD | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs NE | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs W&M | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs STBK | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ BOIS | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ NEV | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vsCAN | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 30 | @ DAV | W 89-83 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs VCU | L 80-93 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | @ JOES | L 90-97 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+0.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
−0.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
−14.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−9.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
−0.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−7.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+2.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+24.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+8.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
−7.5
7
@JOES
JOESL 90-97
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+12.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
+19.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
+31.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−8.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
+8.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−0.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+1.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+18.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+21.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
+7.5
7
@JOES
JOESL 90-97
+37.5
over 12under 2avg +12.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
12-4 overall · 3-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington79–72
- W@ Loyola Chicago70–68
- Wvs Fordham63–56
- Lvs Liberty61–64
- Wvs Florida St97–69
A week or more of rest.
Duquesne
7-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Joseph's90–97
- Lvs VCU80–93
- W@ Davidson89–83
- Wvs Canisius103–59
- L@ Nevada75–78
6 days since their last game.