Gentile Arena · at Loyola Chicago · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -7.5✓ LUC covered by 5.5
DAY -7.5✓ LUC covered by 5.5Closing total140.5Under by 2.5
| DAY | This season | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 5-9 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 3-11 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 78–67 LUC · ✓ DAY (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| LUC | 39 | 29 | 68 |
1st half: DAY 31, LUC 39 (LUC by 8). The model had DAY by 6.6 and a total of 68.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| DAY | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 28-66 42% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 3-5 60% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 1 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 7-18 | 3-9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 37 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Conner F | 32 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Keonte Jones G | 27 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Jordan Derkack G | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Heard G | 24 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Damon Friery, Amal L'Etang, Jaron McKie, Adam Njie, Malcolm Thomas
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Moore G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 8-16 | 3-9 |
| Kayde Dotson G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-16 | 4-9 |
| Kymany Houinsou G | 32 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Miles Rubin C | 30 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Amos F | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Alexander Richardson C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
Did not play: Caleb Reese, Chuck Love III, Sam Yurasek, Daniil Glazkov, Brayden Young, Zachary Royster, Nic Anderson, Dominick Harris
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAY -7.5
ModelDAY -10.8
Model edgeDAY +3.3
L LUC covered
Total
Market140.5
Model145.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
L Under
Projected score
DAY 78 · LUC 67.2
DAY 70 · LUC 68
Win probability
DAY 83%
1st half
Spread
DAY -6.6
LUC -8.0
Total
68.0
70 points
Projected score
DAY 37.3 · LUC 30.7
DAY 31 · LUC 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -8.5
1 → LUC
CloseDAY -7.5
1 pt toward LUC
Total
Open143.5
▼ 3
Close140.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DAY -340 · LUC +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -8.5 · closed DAY -7.5 · moved 1 toward LUCmodel DAY -11
model DAY -11
Opened 143.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 3 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| LUC | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DAY 3–2 LUCDAY leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · DAY 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | DAY 72 @ LUC 76 | LUC +0.5 | LUC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | LUC 81 @ DAY 83 | DAY -10.5 | LUC W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | DAY 72 @ LUC 77 | LUC +1.5 | LUC W |
| Feb 17, 2022-23 | DAY 65 @ LUC 49 | LUC +7.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | LUC 81 @ DAY 85 | DAY -14.5 | LUC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
over 6under 8avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola Chicago
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
3-11
21% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CLE | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs MERC | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs UNT | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ WICH | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs CSU | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIU | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNI | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJSU | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs CMU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vs PRIN | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs CHST | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ SF | L 71-85 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs SCU | W 80-78 | +15.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 31 | @ URI | W 61-57 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−9.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−30.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−12.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−10.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+4.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
−1.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
−24.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
−2.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+17.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
+13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 11avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−4.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−13.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−11.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−22.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+14.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
+4.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
+18.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
+12.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+6.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
−27.5
over 7under 7avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
10-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fordham63–56
- Lvs Liberty61–64
- Wvs Florida St97–69
- Wvs North Florida84–61
- Lvs Virginia73–86
3 days since their last game.
Loyola Chicago
5-9 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rhode Island61–57
- Wvs Santa Clara80–78
- L@ San Francisco71–85
- Lvs Chicago St75–84
- Wvs Princeton73–68
3 days since their last game.