Loyola Chicago Ramblers at Rhode Island Rams: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 31, 12:00 PM ETThomas M. Ryan Center · at Rhode Island · Conference game

Final

Closing lineURI -9.5✓ LUC covered by 13.5

Closing total145.5Under by 27.5

Season records: Loyola Chicago and Rhode Island
LUC	This season	URI
4-9	Record	9-4
2-11	ATS	6-7
7-6	O/U	6-7

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LUC 67–79 URI · ✗ URI (85%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
LUC	31	30	61
URI	27	30	57

1st half: LUC 31, URI 27 (LUC by 4). The model had URI by 6.9 and a total of 68.1 (actual 58).

Team stats

LUC		URI
22-48 46%	Field goals	20-58 34%
8-20 40%	3-pointers	5-26 19%
9-10 90%	Free throws	12-17 71%
35 11 off	Rebounds	26 13 off
9	Assists	7
7	Steals	13
4	Blocks	6
24	Turnovers	12
18	Fouls	13
28	Points in paint	26
4	Fast-break points	5

Players

LUC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Justin Moore G	35	19	4	5	7-11	3-4
Miles Rubin C	31	12	5	0	5-6	0-0
Xavier Amos F	30	7	2	1	3-6	0-0
Kayde Dotson G	27	11	2	0	4-11	3-8
Kymany Houinsou G	27	2	7	1	0-2	0-0
Bench
Joshua Ola-Joseph F	21	2	5	0	0-3	0-1
Deywilk Tavarez G	15	3	2	0	1-6	1-6
Alexander Richardson C	9	2	2	2	1-2	0-0
Nic Anderson G	5	3	0	0	1-1	1-1

Did not play: Zachary Royster, Brayden Young, Daniil Glazkov, Sam Yurasek, Caleb Reese, Chuck Love III, Dominick Harris

URI	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jonah Hinton G	35	15	4	2	3-16	3-14
Alex Crawford F	33	9	5	0	4-9	1-2
Tyler Cochran G	31	15	3	2	6-13	0-2
Keeyan Itejere F	30	0	3	0	0-0	0-0
Myles Corey G	22	6	3	1	3-8	0-2
Bench
RJ Johnson G	20	7	2	2	2-7	0-3
Jalen Harper G	13	3	1	0	1-1	1-1
Drissa Traore F	10	2	5	0	1-3	0-2
Damone King G	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Javon Perry, Barrett Loer, Jaymien Aponte, Moek Icke, Jimmy Ball, Mouhamed Sow, Jahmere Tripp

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	URI -9.5	URI -11.7	URI +2.2	L LUC covered
Total	145.5	145.3	Under 0.2	W Under
Projected score	—	LUC 66.8 · URI 78.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	URI -6.9	LUC -4.0
1H total	68.1	58
1H projected score	LUC 30.6 · URI 37.5	LUC 31 · URI 27

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LUC WLLLW	2-11	15%	0-2	1-5
URI LLLLL	6-7	46%	3-4	5-5

Venue/role: LUC away, as underdog; URI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
LUC OOOOO	7-6	54%	4-9
URI UOUUO	6-7	46%	9-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LUC	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	6-4 60%
URI	7-3 70%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

LUC 2–1 URILUC leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LUC has won the last 2 meetings · LUC 1-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Jan 15, 2024-25	URI 77 @ LUC 81	LUC -4.5	URI W
Feb 18, 2023-24	LUC 77 @ URI 67	URI +5.5	LUC W
Mar 1, 2022-23	URI 79 @ LUC 77	LUC -3.5	URI W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Loyola Chicago

13 games played

Straight up

4-9

31% wins

Against the spread

2-11

15% covers · avg −10.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

7-6

54% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-931%

W L L L L L L L W W L L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-1115%

L L L L L L L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

7-654%

O U U O U U U U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCLE	W 91-88	-17.5	L −14.5	151.5	O 179
Nov 6	vsMERC	L 65-73	-21.5	L −29.5	144.5	U 138
Nov 9	vsUNT	L 62-64	-1.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 13	@WICH	L 74-95	+5.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 16	vsCSU	L 67-80	+3.5	L −9.5	151.5	U 147
Nov 21	vsNIU	L 59-76	-13.5	L −30.5	148.5	U 135
Nov 25	vsUNI	L 51-72	+8.5	L −12.5	134.5	U 123
Nov 26	vsSJSU	L 51-63	+1.5	L −10.5	136.5	U 114
Dec 2	vsCMU	W 83-72	-6.5	W +4.5	140.5	O 155
Dec 6	vsPRIN	W 73-68	-6.5	L −1.5	136.5	O 141
Dec 14	vsCHST	L 75-84	-15.5	L −24.5	140.5	O 159
Dec 17	@SF	L 71-85	+11.5	L −2.5	143.5	O 156
Dec 20	vsSCU	W 80-78	+15.5	W +17.5	151.5	O 158

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CLE

W 91-88

−14.5

MERC

L 65-73

−29.5

UNT

L 62-64

−3.5

WICH

L 74-95

−15.5

CSU

L 67-80

−9.5

NIU

L 59-76

−30.5

UNI

L 51-72

−12.5

SJSU

L 51-63

−10.5

CMU

W 83-72

+4.5

PRIN

W 73-68

−1.5

CHST

L 75-84

−24.5

L 71-85

−2.5

SCU

W 80-78

+17.5

covered 2didn’t cover 11avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CLE

W 91-88

+27.5

MERC

L 65-73

−6.5

UNT

L 62-64

−12.5

WICH

L 74-95

+15.5

CSU

L 67-80

−4.5

NIU

L 59-76

−13.5

UNI

L 51-72

−11.5

SJSU

L 51-63

−22.5

CMU

W 83-72

+14.5

PRIN

W 73-68

+4.5

CHST

L 75-84

+18.5

L 71-85

+12.5

SCU

W 80-78

+6.5

over 7under 6avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rhode Island

13 games played

Straight up

9-4

69% wins

Against the spread

6-7

46% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-7

46% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-469%

W L W W W L W W W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-746%

W L W W W L W W L L L L L

5 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-746%

O U U U O U O O U O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSTET	W 93-62	-18.5	W +12.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 7	vsTLSA	L 65-82	-3.5	L −20.5	153.5	U 147
Nov 11	vsSTO	W 80-57	-16.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 14	vsUALB	W 80-61	-15.5	W +3.5	150.5	U 141
Nov 18	@YALE	W 86-77	+8.5	W +17.5	153.5	O 163
Nov 24	vsTOW	L 55-62	-2.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 117
Nov 25	vsUVM	W 80-65	-4.5	W +10.5	144.5	O 145
Nov 26	vsTEM	W 90-75	-3.5	W +11.5	149.5	O 165
Dec 2	vsBRWN	W 66-56	-13.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 122
Dec 6	@PROV	L 71-90	+7.5	L −11.5	159.5	O 161
Dec 9	vsMCN	L 64-66	+1.5	L −0.5	146.5	U 130
Dec 16	vsCAN	W 62-45	-21.5	L −4.5	138.5	U 107
Dec 22	vsNE	W 85-77	-10.5	L −2.5	144.5	O 162

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STET

W 93-62

+12.5

TLSA

L 65-82

−20.5

STO

W 80-57

+6.5

UALB

W 80-61

+3.5

YALE

W 86-77

+17.5

TOW

L 55-62

−9.5

UVM

W 80-65

+10.5

TEM

W 90-75

+11.5

BRWN

W 66-56

−3.5

PROV

L 71-90

−11.5

MCN

L 64-66

−0.5

CAN

W 62-45

−4.5

W 85-77

−2.5

covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STET

W 93-62

+2.5

TLSA

L 65-82

−6.5

STO

W 80-57

−14.5

UALB

W 80-61

−9.5

YALE

W 86-77

+9.5

TOW

L 55-62

−23.5

UVM

W 80-65

+0.5

TEM

W 90-75

+15.5

BRWN

W 66-56

−16.5

PROV

L 71-90

+1.5

MCN

L 64-66

−16.5

CAN

W 62-45

−31.5

W 85-77

+17.5

over 6under 7avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Loyola Chicago Ramblers at Rhode Island Rams

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Loyola Chicago

Rhode Island

Loyola Chicago

Rhode Island