EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -2.5✓ DAY covered by 17.5
GMU -2.5✓ DAY covered by 17.5Closing total137.5Over by 11.5
 DAY | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 20-5 |
| 10-15 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 10-15 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 69–71 GMU · ✗ GMU (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 43 | 39 | 82 |
| GMU | 36 | 31 | 67 |
1st half: DAY 43, GMU 36 (DAY by 7). The model had GMU by 0.9 and a total of 65.5 (actual 79).
Team stats
| DAY | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 21-48 44% |
| 11-21 52% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 20 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amal L'Etang F | 32 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 9-11 | 2-3 |
| Javon Bennett G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 7-11 | 5-9 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 28 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 24 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Keonte Jones G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 28 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Heard G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Conner F | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Makai Grant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Maxwell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damon Friery F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Dickey, Jaron McKie, Adam Njie
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 38 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-6 |
| Fatt Hill G | 28 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Kory Mincy G | 27 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 24 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Masai Troutman G | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dola Adebayo F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nick Ellington F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden O'Connor, Stas Sivka, Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise, Devin Booker, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -1.5
1 → GMU
CloseGMU -2.5
1 pt toward GMU
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DAY +120 · GMU -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -1.5 · closed GMU -2.5 · moved 1 toward GMUmodel GMU -2
model GMU -2
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -2.5 | GMU -1.8 | DAY +0.7 | W DAY covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 139.9 | Over 2.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DAY 69.1 · GMU 70.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -0.9 | DAY -7.0 |
| 1H total | 65.5 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | DAY 32.3 · GMU 33.2 | DAY 43 · GMU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| GMU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DAY 0–4 GMUGMU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 4 meetings · DAY 0-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | GMU 67 @ DAY 59 | DAY -7.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | DAY 67 @ GMU 71 | GMU +3.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | GMU 74 @ DAY 69 | DAY -10.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 22, 2021-22 | DAY 49 @ GMU 50 | GMU +2 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @ LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @ DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vs URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @ SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | vs SBU | W 72-70 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | @ VCU | L 73-99 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | vs DAV | W 70-59 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−5.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
−17.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−2.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
+24.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
−11.5
over 10under 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vsURI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vsVCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vsGW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsDAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @SBU | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsDUQ | L 65-71 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsJOES | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 10 | @ RICH | L 70-82 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 13 | @GW | L 53-72 | +3.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+2.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−14.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
+1.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
−15.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−15.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+7.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−7.5
7
vsJOES
JOESW 60-52
−27.5
10
@RICH
RICHL 70-82
+12.5
13
@GW
GWL 53-72
−24.5
over 12under 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
16-9 overall · 7-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Davidson70–59
- L@ VCU73–99
- Wvs St Bonaventure72–70
- L@ Saint Louis71–102
- Lvs Rhode Island76–81
3 days since their last game.
George Mason
20-5 overall · 9-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ G Washington53–72
- L@ Richmond70–82
- Wvs Saint Joseph's60–52
- Lvs Duquesne65–71
- W@ St Bonaventure77–73
5 days since their last game.