EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5
GMU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Under by 20.5
 GW | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 16-1 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 77–78 GMU · ✓ GMU (54%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| GMU | 38 | 31 | 69 |
1st half: GW 30, GMU 38 (GMU by 8). The model had GMU by 0.5 and a total of 72.2 (actual 68).
Team stats
| GW | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 24-49 49% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 32 4 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Autry G | 36 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Rafael Castro F | 35 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 32 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8-12 | 2-3 |
| Christian Jones G | 27 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Luke Hunger F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Bubu Benjamin, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 36 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Masai Troutman G | 32 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Jahari Long G | 31 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 30 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Malik Presley G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 26 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Devin Booker G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Nick Ellington, Brayden O'Connor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -2.5
1 → GW
CloseGMU -1.5
1 pt toward GW
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
GW +120 · GMU -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -2.5 · closed GMU -1.5 · moved 1 toward GWmodel GMU -1
model GMU -1
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -1.5 | GMU -1.1 | GW +0.4 | L GMU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.2 | Over 0.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | GW 76.6 · GMU 77.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -0.5 | GMU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 72.2 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | GW 35.9 · GMU 36.4 | GW 30 · GMU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
GW 3–6 GMUGMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 4 meetings · GW 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | GW 65 vs GMU 80 | GMU -4.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | GMU 53 @ GW 50 | GW +1.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | GW 77 @ GMU 80 | GMU -8.5 | GW W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | GW 67 @ GMU 90 | GMU -9.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | GMU 62 @ GW 75 | GW +2.5 | GW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs ODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs W&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @ RICH | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAS | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ DAY | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs LUC | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs DAV | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+11.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
+5.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−4.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+20.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
−14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+21.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
−18.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−3.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+12.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
+12.5
over 10under 7avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
17 games played
Straight up
16-1
94% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vsODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vs VCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
over 9under 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
11-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Davidson79–84
- Wvs Loyola Chicago101–66
- L@ Dayton72–79
- Wvs La Salle77–55
- W@ Richmond99–85
5 days since their last game.
George Mason
16-1 overall · 5-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Loyola Chicago82–74
- Wvs VCU86–80
- W@ Fordham67–58
- Wvs Rhode Island61–50
- W@ La Salle80–75
6 days since their last game.