EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 7.5
VCU -1.5✓ GMU covered by 7.5Closing total144.5Over by 21.5
| VCU | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 14-1 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VCU 74–73 GMU · ✗ VCU (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| GMU | 38 | 48 | 86 |
1st half: VCU 37, GMU 38 (GMU by 1). The model had VCU by 0.8 and a total of 69.1 (actual 75).
Team stats
| VCU | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 31-55 56% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 3-14 21% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 21-24 88% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans F | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 23 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 33 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Michael Belle F | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin, Tyrell Ward
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Jahari Long G | 33 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Masai Troutman G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 22 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 25 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Stas Sivka F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 14 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Nick Ellington F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Booker, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Isaiah Skinn, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -1.5
no move
CloseVCU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 3
Close144.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
VCU -120 · GMU +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -1.5 · unchangedmodel VCU -1
model VCU -1
Opened 147.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VCU -1.5 | VCU -1.2 | GMU +0.3 | W GMU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.5 | Over 3.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | VCU 74.3 · GMU 73.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VCU -0.8 | GMU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | VCU 35 · GMU 34.1 | VCU 37 · GMU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
VCU 6–0 GMUVCU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · VCU has won the last 6 meetings · VCU 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024-25 | GMU 63 vs VCU 68 | VCU -7.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | GMU 54 @ VCU 70 | VCU -11.5 | VCU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | VCU 54 @ GMU 50 | GMU -4.5 | VCU W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | GMU 52 @ VCU 72 | VCU -8.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 23, 2021-22 | GMU 66 @ VCU 72 | VCU -7 | GMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VCU
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vs SBU | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ DUQ | W 93-80 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs SLU | L 62-71 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
−9.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
−2.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
+33.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
+13.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−38.5
over 9under 7avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
15 games played
Straight up
14-1
93% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @ LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
over 7under 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VCU
11-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Louis62–71
- W@ Duquesne93–80
- Wvs St Bonaventure89–82
- Wvs Rider100–79
- Wvs American105–83
3 days since their last game.
George Mason
14-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fordham67–58
- Wvs Rhode Island61–50
- W@ La Salle80–75
- Wvs Penn83–79
- Wvs Loyola MD86–79
3 days since their last game.