EagleBank Arena · at George Mason · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -6.5✓ GMU covered by 1.5
GMU -6.5✓ GMU covered by 1.5Closing total139.5Under by 27.5
 JOES | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8 | Record | 19-3 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 67–74 GMU · ✓ GMU (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 29 | 23 | 52 |
| GMU | 29 | 31 | 60 |
1st half: JOES 29, GMU 29 (tied). The model had GMU by 4.3 and a total of 66.2 (actual 58).
Team stats
| JOES | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-65 31% | Field goals | 23-56 41% |
| 10-37 27% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 2-4 50% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 44 20 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 38 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5-16 | 1-6 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 37 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-16 | 4-13 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 36 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3-14 | 1-8 |
| Austin Williford G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 29 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jaden Smith C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Billy Rayer, Mekai Johnson, Kevin Kearney, Will Lange, Owen Verna, Steven Solano, Al Amadou, Deuce Jones
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| Kory Mincy G | 34 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 26 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Masai Troutman G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 15 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Malik Presley G | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Nick Ellington F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan-Preston Mendy, Isaiah Skinn, T.J. Prosise, Ben Woodward, Brayden O'Connor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -8.5
2 → JOES
CloseGMU -6.5
2 pts toward JOES
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JOES +245 · GMU -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -8.5 · closed GMU -6.5 · moved 2 toward JOESmodel GMU -7.5
model GMU -7.5
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -6.5 | GMU -7.4 | GMU +0.9 | W GMU covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 141.4 | Over 1.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JOES 67 · GMU 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -4.3 | PK |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | JOES 31 · GMU 35.3 | JOES 29 · GMU 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| GMU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
JOES 3–4 GMUGMU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 2 meetings · JOES 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | JOES 64 vs GMU 74 | GMU +1.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | JOES 57 @ GMU 58 | GMU -4.5 | JOES W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | JOES 64 vs GMU 57 | GMU -1.5 | JOES W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | GMU 73 @ JOES 75 | JOES -4.5 | GMU W |
| Jan 29, 2022-23 | JOES 79 @ GMU 76 | GMU -5.5 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | @ LUC | W 85-64 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ LAS | W 67-58 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs GW | W 76-73 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+19.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
+6.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
27
@LUC
LUCW 85-64
+5.5
31
@LAS
LASW 67-58
−17.5
4
vsGW
GWW 76-73
−6.5
over 8under 13avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
22 games played
Straight up
19-3
86% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vsPENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | @LAS | W 80-75 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 3 | vs URI | W 61-50 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | @ FOR | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | vsVCU | W 86-80 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 13 | @LUC | W 82-74 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 19 | vsGW | W 69-64 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @URI | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsDAV | W 60-52 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @SBU | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vsDUQ | L 65-71 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
−3.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
+4.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
+3.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+7.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
−3.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
+3.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
−10.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
+1.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+2.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−14.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
31
@LAS
LASW 80-75
+20.5
3
vsURI
URIW 61-50
−28.5
7
@FOR
FORW 67-58
−9.5
10
vsVCU
VCUW 86-80
+21.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 82-74
+15.5
19
vsGW
GWW 69-64
−20.5
24
@URI
URIL 65-74
+3.5
28
vsDAV
DAVW 60-52
−22.5
31
@SBU
SBUW 77-73
+7.5
4
vsDUQ
DUQL 65-71
−7.5
over 11under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
13-8 overall · 7-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs G Washington76–73
- W@ La Salle67–58
- W@ Loyola Chicago85–64
- Wvs Dayton81–74
- L@ VCU72–79
3 days since their last game.
George Mason
19-3 overall · 8-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duquesne65–71
- W@ St Bonaventure77–73
- Wvs Davidson60–52
- L@ Rhode Island65–74
- Wvs G Washington69–64
3 days since their last game.