Gentile Arena · at Loyola Chicago · Conference game
Closing line
JOES -1.5✓ JOES covered by 19.5
JOES -1.5✓ JOES covered by 19.5Closing total143.5Over by 5.5
| JOES | This season | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 5-16 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 5-16 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 75–71 LUC · ✓ JOES (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 51 | 34 | 85 |
| LUC | 24 | 40 | 64 |
1st half: JOES 51, LUC 24 (JOES by 27). The model had JOES by 2.4 and a total of 68.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| JOES | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-64 56% | Field goals | 23-66 35% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 3-6 50% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 34 15 off |
| 25 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 0 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Williford G | 35 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 33 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 30 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| Derek Simpson G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Smith C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Lange F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Al Amadou F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kevin Kearney F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mekai Johnson G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Steven Solano, Owen Verna, Billy Rayer, Deuce Jones
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Rubin C | 32 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Amos F | 31 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Kayde Dotson G | 29 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-5 |
| Justin Moore G | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| Kymany Houinsou G | 24 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Nic Anderson G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Alexander Richardson C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniil Glazkov G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Young F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Reese G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dominick Harris, Sam Yurasek, Zachary Royster, Chuck Love III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJOES -1.5
ModelJOES -3.9
Model edgeJOES +2.4
W JOES covered
Total
Market143.5
Model146.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
JOES 75 · LUC 71.1
JOES 85 · LUC 64
Win probability
JOES 63%
1st half
Spread
JOES -2.4
JOES -27.0
Total
68.4
75 points
Projected score
JOES 35.4 · LUC 33
JOES 51 · LUC 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenJOES -2.5
1 → LUC
CloseJOES -1.5
1 pt toward LUC
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JOES -135 · LUC +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened JOES -2.5 · closed JOES -1.5 · moved 1 toward LUCmodel JOES -4
model JOES -4
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| LUC | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
JOES 4–3 LUCJOES leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · JOES 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | JOES 55 @ LUC 58 | LUC +1.5 | LUC W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | LUC 57 @ JOES 93 | JOES -5.5 | JOES W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | JOES 59 @ LUC 64 | LUC -2.5 | LUC W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LUC 78 @ JOES 75 | JOES -6.5 | LUC W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | LUC 67 vs JOES 72 | JOES -0.5 | JOES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs DAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs DUQ | W 97-90 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 11 | @ RICH | W 67-65 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs SBU | W 68-64 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 19 | @ VCU | L 72-79 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs DAY | W 81-74 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+8.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
+9.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
+5.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
+7.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
7
vsDUQ
DUQW 97-90
+37.5
11
@RICH
RICHW 67-65
−18.5
14
vsSBU
SBUW 68-64
−15.5
19
@VCU
VCUL 72-79
−0.5
24
vsDAY
DAYW 81-74
+15.5
over 7under 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Loyola Chicago
21 games played
Straight up
5-16
24% wins
Against the spread
5-16
24% covers · avg −7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CLE | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs MERC | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs UNT | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ WICH | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs CSU | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIU | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNI | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJSU | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs CMU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vsPRIN | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs CHST | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ SF | L 71-85 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs SCU | W 80-78 | +15.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 31 | @ URI | W 61-57 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAY | L 68-70 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 7 | vsDAV | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ GW | L 66-101 | +14.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 13 | vs GMU | L 74-82 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 16 | @DAY | L 51-78 | +16.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 20 | @SBU | L 70-84 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsDUQ | L 59-71 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−9.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−30.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−12.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−10.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+4.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
−1.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
−24.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
−2.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+17.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
+13.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
+5.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
−13.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
−20.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+3.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 51-78
−10.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 70-84
−3.5
24
vsDUQ
DUQL 59-71
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 16avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−4.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−13.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−11.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−22.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+14.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
+4.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
+18.5
17
@SF
SFL 71-85
+12.5
20
vsSCU
SCUW 80-78
+6.5
31
@URI
URIW 61-57
−27.5
3
vsDAY
DAYL 68-70
−2.5
7
vsDAV
DAVL 64-79
+6.5
10
@GW
GWL 66-101
+12.5
13
vsGMU
GMUL 74-82
+15.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 51-78
−12.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 70-84
+6.5
24
vsDUQ
DUQL 59-71
−22.5
over 11under 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
10-8 overall · 4-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dayton81–74
- L@ VCU72–79
- Wvs St Bonaventure68–64
- W@ Richmond67–65
- Wvs Duquesne97–90
3 days since their last game.
Loyola Chicago
5-16 overall · 1-7 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duquesne59–71
- L@ St Bonaventure70–84
- L@ Dayton51–78
- Lvs George Mason74–82
- L@ G Washington66–101
3 days since their last game.