UD Arena · at Dayton · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -6.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5
DAY -6.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5Closing total148.5Under by 4.5
 DUQ | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 14-10 | Record | 17-9 |
| 12-12 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 14-10 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUQ 74–79 DAY · ✓ DAY (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 39 | 27 | 66 |
| DAY | 42 | 36 | 78 |
1st half: DUQ 39, DAY 42 (DAY by 3). The model had DAY by 3.3 and a total of 71.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| DUQ | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 38% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 24-32 75% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 30 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-14 | 2-5 |
| Brandon Hall G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| David Dixon F | 21 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jakub Necas F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Williams F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Jake DiMichele G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| John Hugley IV F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Crawford G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Stef van Bussel C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dom Aekins, Lazar Milosevic, Lucas Prolla, Frederik Jellum, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson, Maximus Edwards
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 31 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Keonte Jones G | 31 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 23 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Heard G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Conner F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Pouedet, Adam Njie, Damon Friery, Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Jaron McKie
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -6.5
no move
CloseDAY -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
DUQ +245 · DAY -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -6.5 · unchangedmodel DAY -5.5
model DAY -5.5
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAY -6.5 | DAY -5.7 | DUQ +0.8 | L DAY covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 153.1 | Over 4.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DUQ 73.7 · DAY 79.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAY -3.3 | DAY -3.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | DUQ 34.2 · DAY 37.4 | DUQ 39 · DAY 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| DAY | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DUQ 1–8 DAYDAY leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DAY has won the last 3 meetings · DUQ 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | DAY 71 @ DUQ 65 | DUQ +2.5 | DAY W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | DUQ 76 @ DAY 77 | DAY -10.5 | DUQ W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | DAY 82 @ DUQ 62 | DUQ +3.5 | DAY W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | DUQ 65 vs DAY 57 | DAY -7.5 | DUQ W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | DUQ 59 @ DAY 75 | DAY -7.5 | DAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duquesne
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NIA | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHU | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs QUC | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ VILL | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs L-MD | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs NE | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs W&M | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs STBK | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ BOIS | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ NEV | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vs CAN | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 30 | @ DAV | W 89-83 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs VCU | L 80-93 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | @ JOES | L 90-97 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 13 | vsDAY | L 65-71 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ FOR | W 74-63 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SLU | L 77-81 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ LUC | W 71-59 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs SBU | L 79-87 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 1 | vs URI | W 76-61 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ GMU | W 71-65 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs GW | W 88-86 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 14 | @SBU | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs LAS | W 62-61 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+0.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
−0.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
−14.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−9.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
−0.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−7.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+2.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+24.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+8.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
−7.5
7
@JOES
JOESL 90-97
−8.5
13
vsDAY
DAYL 65-71
−3.5
17
@FOR
FORW 74-63
+9.5
20
vsSLU
SLUL 77-81
+4.5
24
@LUC
LUCW 71-59
+6.5
28
vsSBU
SBUL 79-87
−11.5
1
vsURI
URIW 76-61
+12.5
4
@GMU
GMUW 71-65
+14.5
7
vsGW
GWW 88-86
+3.5
14
@SBU
SBUW 78-73
+6.5
18
vsLAS
LASW 62-61
−10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+12.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
+19.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
+31.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−8.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
+8.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−0.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+1.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+18.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+21.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
+7.5
7
@JOES
JOESL 90-97
+37.5
13
vsDAY
DAYL 65-71
−16.5
17
@FOR
FORW 74-63
−8.5
20
vsSLU
SLUL 77-81
−7.5
24
@LUC
LUCW 71-59
−22.5
28
vsSBU
SBUL 79-87
+15.5
1
vsURI
URIW 76-61
−9.5
4
@GMU
GMUW 71-65
−7.5
7
vsGW
GWW 88-86
+15.5
14
@SBU
SBUW 78-73
−1.5
18
vsLAS
LASW 62-61
−22.5
over 14under 10avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsCAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vsFOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vsGW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vsURI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | vsSBU | W 72-70 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | @VCU | L 73-99 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | vsDAV | W 70-59 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | @GMU | W 82-67 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−5.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
−17.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
+5.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+17.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−2.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
+24.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
−11.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+11.5
over 11under 15avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duquesne
14-10 overall · 8-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle62–61
- W@ St Bonaventure78–73
- Wvs G Washington88–86
- W@ George Mason71–65
- Wvs Rhode Island76–61
3 days since their last game.
Dayton
17-9 overall · 8-5 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ George Mason82–67
- Wvs Davidson70–59
- L@ VCU73–99
- Wvs St Bonaventure72–70
- L@ Saint Louis71–102
3 days since their last game.