Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena · at UMBC · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
UMBC -1.5✓ UMBC covered by 13.5
UMBC -1.5✓ UMBC covered by 13.5Closing total134.5Under by 1.5
 UVM | This season | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| 20-11 | Record | 21-8 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 17-14 | O/U | 13-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 69–72 UMBC · ✓ UMBC (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| UMBC | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: UVM 28, UMBC 30 (UMBC by 2). The model had UMBC by 1.7 and a total of 66.3 (actual 58).
Team stats
| UVM | UMBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 5-27 19% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 4-10 40% | Free throws | 22-26 85% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 6 | Assists | 6 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley G | 33 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-8 |
| Sean Blake G | 32 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Gus Yalden F | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-4 |
| Noah Barnett F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Johnson G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| TJ Long G | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Lucas Mari G | 27 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Wesson, Chris Kuzemka, Drew Bessette, Sincere Clemons, Benjamin Michaels, Trey Woodyard, David Simon
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 36 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 34 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 25 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Cougar Downing G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tim Eze, Jake Stout, Devin Ceaser, Paul Greene, Daylon Dickerson, Saahil Thakkar, Regimantas Ciunys
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -2.5
1 → UVM
CloseUMBC -1.5
1 pt toward UVM
Total
Open137.5
▼ 3
Close134.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UVM +124 · UMBC -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -2.5 · closed UMBC -1.5 · moved 1 toward UVMmodel UMBC -3
model UMBC -3
Opened 137.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UMBC -1.5 | UMBC -3.0 | UMBC +1.5 | W UMBC covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 141.6 | Over 7.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UVM 69.3 · UMBC 72.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -1.7 | UMBC -2.0 |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | UVM 32.3 · UMBC 34 | UVM 28 · UMBC 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UMBC | 10-0 100% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
UVM 9–2 UMBCUVM leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · UVM 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | UVM 62 @ UMBC 75 | UMBC +1.5 | UMBC W |
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | UMBC 55 @ UVM 64 | UVM -8.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UVM 79 @ UMBC 69 | UMBC +8.5 | UVM W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UMBC 80 @ UVM 63 | UVM -5.5 | UMBC W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UVM 72 @ UMBC 70 | UMBC +12 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
31 games played
Straight up
20-11
65% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-14
55% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs PRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @PRIN | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNH | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs BING | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vs ME | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | @ UALB | L 68-75 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 22 | @ UML | W 77-68 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @ BRY | W 62-52 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 29 | vsUMBC | W 64-55 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | vs NJIT | L 77-79 | -13.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 5 | @ME | L 70-76 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNH | W 80-57 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 12 | @BING | W 73-65 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 14 | vsBRY | W 90-63 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @UMBC | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | @NJIT | W 70-64 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 26 | vsUML | W 66-64 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 3 | vsUALB | W 69-56 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 7 | vsBRY | W 77-57 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Mar 10 | vsNJIT | W 63-54 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
−9.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+11.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−19.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−9.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
−12.5
22
@UML
UMLW 77-68
+4.5
24
@BRY
BRYW 62-52
+1.5
29
vsUMBC
UMBCW 64-55
+0.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITL 77-79
−15.5
5
@ME
MEL 70-76
−14.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 80-57
+13.5
12
@BING
BINGW 73-65
−3.5
14
vsBRY
BRYW 90-63
+13.5
19
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-75
−14.5
21
@NJIT
NJITW 70-64
−0.5
26
vsUML
UMLW 66-64
−7.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 69-56
+3.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 77-57
+8.5
10
vsNJIT
NJITW 63-54
−1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
+7.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+1.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−21.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−1.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
+3.5
22
@UML
UMLW 77-68
−0.5
24
@BRY
BRYW 62-52
−19.5
29
vsUMBC
UMBCW 64-55
−22.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITL 77-79
+16.5
5
@ME
MEL 70-76
+15.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 80-57
−1.5
12
@BING
BINGW 73-65
+1.5
14
vsBRY
BRYW 90-63
+19.5
19
@UMBC
UMBCL 62-75
−5.5
21
@NJIT
NJITW 70-64
−8.5
26
vsUML
UMLW 66-64
−16.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 69-56
−11.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 77-57
+3.5
10
vsNJIT
NJITW 63-54
−17.5
over 17under 14avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMBC
29 games played
Straight up
21-8
72% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vsBUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vsME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vsNJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsUML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @NJIT | W 91-52 | -4.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNH | W 84-69 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 10 | vsUML | W 91-69 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
+34.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+2.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+14.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
−0.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+10.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+12.5
over 13under 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
20-11 overall · 14-4 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NJIT63–54
- Wvs Bryant77–57
- Wvs UAlbany69–56
- Wvs UMass Lowell66–64
- W@ NJIT70–64
4 days since their last game.
UMBC
21-8 overall · 16-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass Lowell91–69
- Wvs New Hampshire84–69
- W@ NJIT91–52
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
- Wvs Bryant70–58
4 days since their last game.