Lundholm Gymnasium · at New Hampshire · Conference game
Closing line
UVM -7.5✓ UVM covered by 11.5
UVM -7.5✓ UVM covered by 11.5Closing total139.5Over by 1.5
| UVM | This season | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 2-9 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 10-3 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 76–68 UNH · ✓ UVM (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| UNH | 31 | 30 | 61 |
1st half: UVM 39, UNH 31 (UVM by 8). The model had UVM by 4.5 and a total of 67.5 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UVM | UNH | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-60 53% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 8-10 80% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Long G | 35 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Sean Blake G | 33 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 5-11 | 3-5 |
| TJ Hurley G | 30 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 8-12 | 1-4 |
| Gus Yalden F | 28 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8-12 | 1-4 |
| Noah Barnett F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Benjamin Michaels F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Ben Johnson G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Trey Woodyard F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Lucas Mari G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Ben Wesson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Bessette F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sincere Clemons G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Simon, Chris Kuzemka
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-6 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 29 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| John Squire F | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Davide Poser F | 25 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 24 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| R.J. Kennedy G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Bike G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Nick Sanford, Dylan Saunders, Myles Blackley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -7.5
ModelUVM -7.3
Model edgeUNH +0.2
L UVM covered
Total
Market139.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
W Over
Projected score
UVM 75.7 · UNH 68.4
UVM 80 · UNH 61
Win probability
UVM 74%
1st half
Spread
UVM -4.5
UVM -8.0
Total
67.5
70 points
Projected score
UVM 36 · UNH 31.5
UVM 39 · UNH 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -7.5
no move
CloseUVM -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 2
Close139.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UVM -305 · UNH +245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -7.5 · unchangedmodel UVM -7.5 matches the line
model UVM -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| UNH | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UVM 9–1 UNHUVM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UVM has won the last 7 meetings · UVM 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UNH 57 @ UVM 64 | UVM -14.5 | UNH W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UNH 59 @ UVM 79 | UVM -14.5 | UVM W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UVM 60 @ UNH 40 | UNH +11.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 12, 2023-24 | UNH 59 @ UVM 66 | UVM -15.5 | UNH W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | UVM 68 @ UNH 64 | UNH +9.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-3
77% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs PRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @PRIN | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
−9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
+7.5
over 10under 3avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Hampshire
11 games played
Straight up
2-9
18% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLEM | L 38-88 | +29.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 9 | @ HARV | L 75-86 | +15.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | @ GMU | L 44-61 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | @ PROV | L 66-98 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vsBRWN | L 47-59 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAIR | L 68-72 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 3 | @ DART | L 68-69 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs BU | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | vs STO | W 59-58 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 21 | @ SLU | L 79-93 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | @ NEB | L 55-86 | +31.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
+5.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
+7.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+11.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−2.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+20.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
30
@FAIR
FAIRL 68-72
−7.5
3
@DART
DARTL 68-69
−10.5
6
vsBU
BUW 88-82
+35.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 59-58
−21.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 79-93
+14.5
30
@NEB
NEBL 55-86
−5.5
over 4under 7avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
6-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Princeton69–75
- Lvs Iona78–83
- Wvs Siena83–69
- Wvs Merrimack66–59
- W@ Pepperdine65–56
4 days since their last game.
New Hampshire
2-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nebraska55–86
- L@ Saint Louis79–93
- Wvs Stonehill59–58
- Wvs Boston U88–82
- L@ Dartmouth68–69
4 days since their last game.