United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
MICH -12.5✓ WIS covered by 9.5
MICH -12.5✓ WIS covered by 9.5Closing total161.5Under by 28.5
 WIS | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 24-9 | Record | 30-2 |
| 20-13 | ATS | 15-17 |
| 21-12 | O/U | 12-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 77–88 MICH · ✓ MICH (83%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| MICH | 28 | 40 | 68 |
1st half: WIS 28, MICH 28 (tied). The model had MICH by 6.4 and a total of 77.2 (actual 56).
Team stats
| WIS | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-61 38% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 16-38 42% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 3-5 60% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 8 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd G | 37 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6-20 | 2-7 |
| John Blackwell G | 35 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 34 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Austin Rapp F | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 6-10 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Hayden Jones G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Garlock F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nolan Winter, Jack Robison, Isaac Gard, Riccardo Greppi, Elijah Gray, Jack Janicki, Zach Kinziger
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 35 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 32 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Aday Mara C | 30 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 21 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-5 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 28 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 27 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Will Tschetter F | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Malick Kordel, Ricky Liburd, Oscar Goodman, Howard Eisley Jr., L.J. Cason, Charlie May, Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -12.5
no move
CloseMICH -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
no move
Close161.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WIS +625 · MICH -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -12.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -11
model MICH -11
Opened 161.5 · unchangedmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -12.5 | MICH -10.9 | WIS +1.6 | W WIS covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 165.2 | Over 3.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | WIS 77.1 · MICH 88.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -6.4 | PK |
| 1H total | 77.2 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 35.4 · MICH 41.8 | WIS 28 · MICH 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
WIS 3–4 MICHMICH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WIS 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | WIS 91 @ MICH 88 | MICH -19.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 16, 2024-25 | WIS 53 vs MICH 59 | MICH +4.5 | MICH W |
| Dec 3, 2024-25 | MICH 67 @ WIS 64 | WIS -3.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | WIS 68 @ MICH 72 | MICH +8.5 | MICH W |
| Feb 26, 2022-23 | WIS 79 @ MICH 87 | MICH -5.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
33 games played
Straight up
24-9
73% wins
Against the spread
20-13
61% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-12
64% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ ORE | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ WASH | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs MD | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | @PUR | W 97-93 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vsWASH | W 85-82 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 13 | vsILL | W 91-88 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
−19.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+15.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
+18.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+13.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
−3.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+11.5
covered 20didn’t cover 13avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
+3.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+9.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
−30.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+35.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
+9.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+20.5
over 21under 12avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
32 games played
Straight up
30-2
94% wins
Against the spread
15-17
47% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-20
38% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vsVILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vsNEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vsMINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @IOWA | W 71-68 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | vsMSU | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 13 | vsOSU | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−6.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
−0.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 17avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−7.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
+17.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−17.5
over 12under 20avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
24-9 overall · 16-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois91–88
- Wvs Washington85–82
- W@ Purdue97–93
- Wvs Maryland78–45
- W@ Washington90–73
1 day since their last game.
Michigan
30-2 overall · 20-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State71–67
- Wvs Michigan St90–80
- W@ Iowa71–68
- W@ Illinois84–70
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
1 day since their last game.