Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -9.5✓ IOWA covered by 6.5
MICH -9.5✓ IOWA covered by 6.5Closing total146.5Under by 7.5
| MICH | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 27-2 | Record | 20-9 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 17-12 |
| 11-18 | O/U | 16-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 80–71 IOWA · ✓ MICH (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 30 | 41 | 71 |
| IOWA | 30 | 38 | 68 |
1st half: MICH 30, IOWA 30 (tied). The model had MICH by 5.9 and a total of 70.7 (actual 60).
Team stats
| MICH | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-45 53% | Field goals | 25-64 39% |
| 6-12 50% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 38 8 off | Rebounds | 25 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 36 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 28 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Aday Mara C | 28 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Will Tschetter F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: L.J. Cason, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May, Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7-23 | 4-14 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 28 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Tavion Banks G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Koch F | 21 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Kael Combs G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaia Howard G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 22 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Tate Sage G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Brendan Hausen, Trevin Jirak
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -9.5
no move
CloseMICH -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -440 · IOWA +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -9.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -9.5 matches the line
model MICH -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -9.5 | MICH -9.7 | MICH +0.2 | L IOWA covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 151.1 | Over 4.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MICH 80.4 · IOWA 70.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -5.9 | PK |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | MICH 38.3 · IOWA 32.4 | MICH 30 · IOWA 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| IOWA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MICH 3–3 IOWASeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MICH 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | IOWA 83 @ MICH 85 | MICH -9.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | IOWA 88 @ MICH 78 | MICH -1.5 | IOWA W |
| Dec 10, 2023-24 | MICH 90 @ IOWA 80 | IOWA -4.5 | MICH W |
| Jan 12, 2022-23 | MICH 84 @ IOWA 93 | IOWA -5.5 | IOWA W |
| Mar 3, 2021-22 | IOWA 82 @ MICH 71 | MICH -2 | IOWA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
29 games played
Straight up
27-2
93% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-18
38% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vs OSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs NEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @ NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
over 11under 18avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
29 games played
Straight up
20-9
69% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vsMD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vsILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vsRUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vsUSC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vsNU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vsNEB | W 57-52 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 22 | @WIS | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | vsOSU | W 74-57 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 28 | @PSU | L 69-71 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
+3.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
−10.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
+10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−11.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
−30.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
+7.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
−10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−3.5
over 16under 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
27-2 overall · 17-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Illinois84–70
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
- Lvs Duke63–68
- W@ Purdue91–80
- Wvs UCLA86–56
6 days since their last game.
Iowa
20-9 overall · 10-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Penn State69–71
- Wvs Ohio State74–57
- L@ Wisconsin71–84
- Wvs Nebraska57–52
- Lvs Purdue57–78
5 days since their last game.