Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -22.5✓ MINN covered by 12.5
MICH -22.5✓ MINN covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Under by 1.5
 MINN | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | Record | 25-2 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 10-17 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 63–85 MICH · ✓ MICH (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 28 | 39 | 67 |
| MICH | 32 | 45 | 77 |
1st half: MINN 28, MICH 32 (MICH by 4). The model had MICH by 12.8 and a total of 69.1 (actual 60).
Team stats
| MINN | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 12-34 35% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 5-6 83% | Free throws | 5-5 100% |
| 18 1 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 40 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 5-10 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 39 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Grayson Grove F | 38 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 38 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: RJ Spencer, Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, Chansey Willis Jr., Nehemiah Turner, BJ Omot, Chance Stephens, Robert Vaihola, Jaylen Crocker-Johnson
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 25 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Aday Mara C | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| L.J. Cason G | 20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 19 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Oscar Goodman, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -22.5
no move
CloseMICH -22.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +1800 · MICH -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -22.5 · unchangedmodel MICH -21.5
model MICH -21.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -22.5 | MICH -21.7 | MINN +0.8 | W MINN covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 147.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MINN 63 · MICH 84.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -12.8 | MICH -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | MINN 28.2 · MICH 41 | MINN 28 · MICH 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MINN 3–2 MICHMINN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MINN has won the last 2 meetings · MINN 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MICH 81 @ MINN 84 | MINN +10.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | MINN 73 @ MICH 71 | MICH -5.5 | MINN W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | MINN 56 @ MICH 60 | MICH -12.5 | MINN W |
| Dec 8, 2022-23 | MICH 90 @ MINN 75 | MINN +4.5 | MICH W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | MINN 75 @ MICH 65 | MICH -13.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
27 games played
Straight up
13-14
48% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs IOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs USC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs WIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @WIS | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ PSU | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs MSU | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vs MD | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ WASH | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 17 | @ ORE | W 61-44 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 136.5 | U 105 |
| Feb 21 | vs RUTG | W 80-61 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
+5.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
−4.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+11.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−15.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−5.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
+20.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
−16.5
1
@PSU
PSUL 75-77
+9.5
4
vsMSU
MSUW 76-73
+12.5
8
vsMD
MDL 62-67
−9.5
14
@WASH
WASHL 57-69
−12.5
17
@ORE
OREW 61-44
−31.5
21
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-61
+4.5
over 10under 17avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
27 games played
Straight up
25-2
93% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vsNEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
over 11under 16avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
13-14 overall · 6-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers80–61
- W@ Oregon61–44
- L@ Washington57–69
- Lvs Maryland62–67
- Wvs Michigan St76–73
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
25-2 overall · 15-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Duke63–68
- W@ Purdue91–80
- Wvs UCLA86–56
- W@ Northwestern87–75
- W@ Ohio State82–61
3 days since their last game.