Mackey Arena · at Purdue · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -9.5✓ WIS covered by 13.5
PUR -9.5✓ WIS covered by 13.5Closing total154.5Over by 35.5
 WIS | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 21-9 | Record | 23-7 |
| 18-12 | ATS | 13-17 |
| 18-12 | O/U | 14-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 74–83 PUR · ✗ PUR (79%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 52 | 45 | 97 |
| PUR | 47 | 46 | 93 |
1st half: WIS 52, PUR 47 (WIS by 5). The model had PUR by 5.4 and a total of 73.5 (actual 99).
Team stats
| WIS | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 34-67 51% |
| 18-34 53% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 21-24 88% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 22 7 off | Rebounds | 34 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 38 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 7-13 | 5-10 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 36 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Nick Boyd G | 33 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 8-13 | 1-3 |
| Austin Rapp F | 32 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Hayden Jones G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Garlock F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riccardo Greppi, Jack Robison, Jack Janicki, Zach Kinziger, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard, Nolan Winter
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 37 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8-18 | 2-7 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 36 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-9 |
| C.J. Cox G | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 27 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Omer Mayer G | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Fine, Jack Lusk, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Sam King, Raleigh Burgess, Liam Murphy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -6.5
3 → PUR
ClosePUR -9.5
3 pts toward PUR
Total
Open157.5
▼ 3
Close154.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
WIS +370 · PUR -485
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -6.5 · closed PUR -9.5 · moved 3 toward PURmodel PUR -9.5
model PUR -9.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PUR -9.5 | PUR -9.3 | WIS +0.3 | W WIS covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 157.4 | Over 2.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WIS 74.1 · PUR 83.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PUR -5.4 | WIS -5.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 99 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 34.1 · PUR 39.5 | WIS 52 · PUR 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| PUR | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
WIS 4–4 PURSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · WIS 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | PUR 89 @ WIS 73 | WIS +5.5 | PUR W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WIS 94 @ PUR 84 | PUR -6.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | WIS 76 vs PUR 75 | PUR -5.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | WIS 70 @ PUR 78 | PUR -9.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | PUR 75 @ WIS 69 | WIS +1.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
30 games played
Straight up
21-9
70% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vsPUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ ORE | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ WASH | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs MD | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
−19.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+15.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
+18.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
+3.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+9.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
−30.5
over 18under 12avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
30 games played
Straight up
23-7
77% wins
Against the spread
13-17
43% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vsMINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vsMARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vsWASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vsPSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vsIOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsORE | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @NEB | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @IOWA | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vsMICH | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vsIU | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vsMSU | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @OSU | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @NU | W 70-66 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−15.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+5.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
+18.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+17.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
−7.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−14.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 17avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−12.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+10.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
−7.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
+14.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+6.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
+6.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+6.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−9.5
over 14under 16avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
21-9 overall · 13-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland78–45
- W@ Washington90–73
- L@ Oregon71–85
- Wvs Iowa84–71
- L@ Ohio State69–86
3 days since their last game.
Purdue
23-7 overall · 13-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northwestern70–66
- L@ Ohio State74–82
- Lvs Michigan St74–76
- Wvs Indiana93–64
- Lvs Michigan80–91
3 days since their last game.