Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
FLA -7.5✓ VAN covered by 24.5
FLA -7.5✓ VAN covered by 24.5Closing total161.5Over by 3.5
 VAN | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 25-7 | Record | 26-6 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 18-14 |
| 16-16 | O/U | 13-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 78–86 FLA · ✗ FLA (77%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 47 | 44 | 91 |
| FLA | 34 | 40 | 74 |
1st half: VAN 47, FLA 34 (VAN by 13). The model had FLA by 4.8 and a total of 76.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| VAN | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-55 55% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 21-23 91% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 23 8 off | Rebounds | 38 20 off |
| 21 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Duke Miles G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 30 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| AK Okereke F | 19 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 26 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Chandler Bing F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frankie Collins, George Kimble III, Mike James, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Tyler Harris, Miles Keeffe, Mason Nicholson, Coleson Messer
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 35 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Boogie Fland G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Alex Condon F | 31 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 30 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Brown G | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Urban Klavzar G | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Olivier Rioux, Viktor Mikic, CJ Ingram, Alex Lloyd, Alex Kovatchev, Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -8.5
1 → VAN
CloseFLA -7.5
1 pt toward VAN
Total
Open160.5
▲ 1
Close161.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAN +270 · FLA -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -8.5 · closed FLA -7.5 · moved 1 toward VANmodel FLA -8.5
model FLA -8.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 upmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -7.5 | FLA -8.3 | FLA +0.8 | L VAN covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 163.4 | Over 1.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | VAN 77.5 · FLA 85.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -4.8 | VAN -13.0 |
| 1H total | 76.3 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | VAN 35.7 · FLA 40.6 | VAN 47 · FLA 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| FLA | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VAN 3–5 FLAFLA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · FLA has won the last 2 meetings · VAN 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | FLA 98 @ VAN 94 | VAN +1.5 | FLA W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | VAN 75 @ FLA 86 | FLA -9.5 | FLA W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | FLA 78 @ VAN 79 | VAN +9.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | VAN 64 @ FLA 77 | FLA -15.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | FLA 72 @ VAN 88 | VAN -4.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
32 games played
Straight up
25-7
78% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsFLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs MISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @ MIZ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs TENN | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vs UGA | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @UK | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @MISS | W 89-86 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | @TENN | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 13 | vsTENN | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
−4.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−6.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+0.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
−12.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
−4.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+6.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
+8.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
+6.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−16.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+4.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
+10.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
+19.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+21.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
−4.5
over 16under 16avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
32 games played
Straight up
26-6
81% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARIZ | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 6 | vs UNF | W 104-64 | -43.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs FSU | W 78-76 | -17.5 | L −15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs MIA | W 82-68 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 21 | vs MRMK | W 80-45 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 27 | vs TCU | L 80-84 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs PROV | W 90-78 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUKE | L 66-67 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 9 | vs CONN | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs GW | W 80-70 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs SFPA | W 102-61 | -44.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLG | W 90-60 | -27.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs DART | W 94-72 | -35.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 3 | @MIZ | L 74-76 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsUGA | W 92-77 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsTENN | W 91-67 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | @OU | W 96-79 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | @VAN | W 98-94 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | vsLSU | W 79-61 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vsAUB | L 67-76 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @SC | W 95-48 | -13.5 | W +33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 1 | vsALA | W 100-77 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | @TA&M | W 86-67 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 167.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 11 | @UGA | W 86-66 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 14 | vsUK | W 92-83 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vsSC | W 76-62 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @MISS | W 94-75 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | @TEX | W 84-71 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | vsARK | W 111-77 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 3 | vsMSST | W 108-74 | -20.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Mar 7 | @UK | W 84-77 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 13 | vsUK | W 71-63 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
+3.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−1.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
−15.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−0.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
+8.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+0.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−4.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
−3.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
+2.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
−13.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−9.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
+5.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+19.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+9.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+2.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
+2.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−20.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
+33.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+13.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
+13.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
+11.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
−3.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−9.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+5.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
+6.5
28
vsARK
ARKW 111-77
+24.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTW 108-74
+13.5
7
@UK
UKW 84-77
+1.5
13
vsUK
UKW 71-63
−2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
16
vsMIA
MIAW 82-68
−21.5
21
vsMRMK
MRMKW 80-45
−33.5
27
vsTCU
TCUL 80-84
+8.5
28
vsPROV
PROVW 90-78
−1.5
2
@DUKE
DUKEL 66-67
−24.5
9
vsCONN
CONNL 73-77
+4.5
13
vsGW
GWW 80-70
−12.5
17
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-61
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 90-60
−6.5
29
vsDART
DARTW 94-72
+5.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 74-76
−4.5
6
vsUGA
UGAW 92-77
−3.5
10
vsTENN
TENNW 91-67
+6.5
13
@OU
OUW 96-79
+17.5
17
@VAN
VANW 98-94
+27.5
20
vsLSU
LSUW 79-61
−18.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 67-76
−16.5
28
@SC
SCW 95-48
−8.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 100-77
+0.5
7
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-67
−14.5
11
@UGA
UGAW 86-66
−12.5
14
vsUK
UKW 92-83
+20.5
17
vsSC
SCW 76-62
−18.5
21
@MISS
MISSW 94-75
+16.5
25
@TEX
TEXW 84-71
−2.5
28
vsARK
ARKW 111-77
+18.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTW 108-74
+20.5
7
@UK
UKW 84-77
−1.5
13
vsUK
UKW 71-63
−27.5
over 13under 19avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
25-7 overall · 12-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee75–68
- W@ Tennessee86–82
- W@ Ole Miss89–86
- L@ Kentucky77–91
- Wvs Georgia88–80
1 day since their last game.
Florida
26-6 overall · 17-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kentucky71–63
- W@ Kentucky84–77
- Wvs Mississippi St108–74
- Wvs Arkansas111–77
- W@ Texas84–71
1 day since their last game.