Crisler Center · at Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MICH -10.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5
MICH -10.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5Closing total152.5Over by 17.5
 MSU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 25-5 | Record | 28-2 |
| 15-15 | ATS | 15-15 |
| 13-17 | O/U | 11-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 71–81 MICH · ✓ MICH (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 41 | 39 | 80 |
| MICH | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: MSU 41, MICH 42 (MICH by 1). The model had MICH by 6.2 and a total of 71.2 (actual 83).
Team stats
| MSU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-65 45% | Field goals | 27-55 49% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 26-29 90% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 37 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 5-13 | 2-3 |
| Jordan Scott F | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 33 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 10-13 | 2-4 |
| Coen Carr F | 32 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Carson Cooper C | 29 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Cam Ward F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Walton, Brennan Walton, Nick Sanders, Divine Ugochukwu, Trey Fort, Kaleb Glenn
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 38 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 8-12 | 5-6 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Aday Mara C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Trey McKenney G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Will Tschetter F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Howard Eisley Jr., Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, L.J. Cason, Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -11.5
1 → MSU
CloseMICH -10.5
1 pt toward MSU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MSU +425 · MICH -575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -11.5 · closed MICH -10.5 · moved 1 toward MSUmodel MICH -10.5 matches the line
model MICH -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -10.5 | MICH -10.6 | MICH +0.1 | L MSU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 152.3 | Under 0.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MSU 70.8 · MICH 81.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -6.2 | MICH -1.0 |
| 1H total | 71.2 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | MSU 32.5 · MICH 38.7 | MSU 41 · MICH 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| MICH | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MSU 6–3 MICHMSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MSU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | MICH 83 @ MSU 71 | MSU +2.5 | MICH W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | MICH 62 @ MSU 79 | MSU -7.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | MSU 75 @ MICH 62 | MICH -3.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MSU 73 @ MICH 63 | MICH +5.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | MICH 62 @ MSU 81 | MSU -11.5 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
30 games played
Straight up
25-5
83% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vs IU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vs MD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @ RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vsMICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vs ILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @ WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | vs UCLA | W 82-59 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | vs OSU | W 66-60 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | @ PUR | W 76-74 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @IU | W 77-64 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 5 | vsRUTG | W 91-87 | -20.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+14.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−4.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+7.5
1
@IU
IUW 77-64
+10.5
5
vsRUTG
RUTGW 91-87
−16.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+1.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−20.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+6.5
1
@IU
IUW 77-64
−3.5
5
vsRUTG
RUTGW 91-87
+36.5
over 13under 17avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
30 games played
Straight up
28-2
93% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsOAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vsRUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vs LAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vsUSC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsWIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vsIU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vsOSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vsNEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vsDUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vsMINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @IOWA | W 71-68 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−7.5
over 11under 19avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
25-5 overall · 15-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers91–87
- W@ Indiana77–64
- W@ Purdue76–74
- Wvs Ohio State66–60
- Wvs UCLA82–59
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
28-2 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Iowa71–68
- W@ Illinois84–70
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
- Lvs Duke63–68
- W@ Purdue91–80
3 days since their last game.