Breslin Center · at Michigan St · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -10.5✓ OSU covered by 4.5
MSU -10.5✓ OSU covered by 4.5Closing total146.5Under by 20.5
 OSU | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-9 | Record | 21-5 |
| 12-14 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 72–79 MSU · ✓ MSU (74%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| MSU | 23 | 43 | 66 |
1st half: OSU 26, MSU 23 (OSU by 3). The model had MSU by 4.3 and a total of 70.4 (actual 49).
Team stats
| OSU | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 4-15 27% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 40 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 12-22 | 2-8 |
| Taison Chatman G | 32 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Amare Bynum F | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 29 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Puff Johnson G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Colin White F | 25 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Brandon Noel, Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Josh Ojianwuna, Devin Royal, John Mobley Jr.
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2-7 | 1-1 |
| Carson Cooper C | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Coen Carr F | 32 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Scott F | 31 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 17 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Cam Ward F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Walton, Brennan Walton, Kaleb Glenn, Divine Ugochukwu, Nick Sanders
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -10.5
no move
CloseMSU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
OSU +500 · MSU -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -10.5 · unchangedmodel MSU -7.5
model MSU -7.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -10.5 | MSU -7.4 | OSU +3.1 | W OSU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 150.5 | Over 4.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | OSU 71.5 · MSU 79 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -4.3 | OSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 70.4 | 49 |
| 1H projected score | OSU 33.1 · MSU 37.4 | OSU 26 · MSU 23 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
OSU 3–3 MSUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · OSU 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | MSU 69 @ OSU 62 | OSU -2.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | OSU 60 @ MSU 57 | MSU -10.5 | OSU W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | OSU 68 vs MSU 58 | MSU -6.5 | OSU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | OSU 78 @ MSU 84 | MSU -6.5 | OSU W |
| Feb 12, 2022-23 | MSU 62 @ OSU 41 | OSU -3.5 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @ MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vs PSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @ WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @ MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vs USC | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs UVA | L 66-70 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | vsWIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
+1.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
+15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
+18.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
−10.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
−2.5
over 12under 14avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
26 games played
Straight up
21-5
81% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vsUNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vsUSC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vsNU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vs IU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vsMD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vsMICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | vsUCLA | W 82-59 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+1.5
over 11under 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
17-9 overall · 9-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wisconsin86–69
- Lvs Virginia66–70
- Wvs USC89–82
- Lvs Michigan61–82
- W@ Maryland82–62
5 days since their last game.
Michigan St
21-5 overall · 11-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCLA82–59
- L@ Wisconsin71–92
- Wvs Illinois85–82
- L@ Minnesota73–76
- Lvs Michigan71–83
5 days since their last game.