Breslin Center · at Michigan St · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -18.5✓ MSU covered by 24.5
MSU -18.5✓ MSU covered by 24.5Closing total141.5Under by 2.5
 MD | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 17-2 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 13-6 | O/U | 5-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 62–79 MSU · ✓ MSU (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 23 | 25 | 48 |
| MSU | 46 | 45 | 91 |
1st half: MD 23, MSU 46 (MSU by 23). The model had MSU by 9.8 and a total of 66.3 (actual 69).
Team stats
| MD | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-54 33% | Field goals | 34-56 61% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 24 9 off | Rebounds | 35 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 25 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 31 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Saunders F | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| David Coit G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| Darius Adams G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Solomon Washington F | 37 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Myles Rice G | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Andre Mills G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Aleks Alston F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Carson Cooper C | 24 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 23 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Coen Carr F | 21 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Ward F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Kur Teng G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Trey Fort G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nick Sanders G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brennan Walton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Colin Walton F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Glenn
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -18.5
no move
CloseMSU -18.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MD +1300 · MSU -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -18.5 · unchangedmodel MSU -16.5
model MSU -16.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -18.5 | MSU -16.7 | MD +1.8 | L MSU covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.4 | Under 0.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MD 62.4 · MSU 79.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -9.8 | MSU -23.0 |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | MD 28.2 · MSU 38 | MD 23 · MSU 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| MSU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MD 0–7 MSUMSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MSU has won the last 7 meetings · MD 1-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | MSU 58 @ MD 55 | MD -3.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | MD 54 @ MSU 63 | MSU -5.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | MSU 61 @ MD 59 | MD -0.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | MD 58 @ MSU 63 | MSU -3.5 | MSU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | MD 72 vs MSU 76 | MSU -2 | MSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-6
68% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs IU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs PSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 21 | @ ILL | L 70-89 | +18.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
21
@ILL
ILLL 70-89
+6.5
over 13under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
19 games played
Straight up
17-2
89% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-14
26% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vsIOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vsUSC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vsIU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
over 5under 14avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
8-11 overall · 1-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois70–89
- Wvs Penn State96–73
- L@ USC71–88
- L@ UCLA55–67
- Lvs Indiana66–84
3 days since their last game.
Michigan St
17-2 overall · 7-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oregon68–52
- W@ Washington80–63
- Wvs Indiana81–60
- Wvs Northwestern76–66
- Wvs USC80–51
4 days since their last game.