Day in numbers

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Games1010 final · 0 to play
Lines moved81+ pt since the open · 10 with a line
Totals moved81+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS3-730% covered
Upsets3outright
Over / Under4-640% over
Model Favorite6-460% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
TEX vs NCSUTEX -1.5 → NCSU -1.53 → NCSU165.5 → 157.5▼ 8
UNLV @ UCIUCI -2.5 → UNLV -1.54 → UNLV151.5 → 153.5▲ 2
LIB @ GMUGMU -5.5 → GMU -2.53 → LIB143.5 → 141.5▼ 2
DAV @ OKSTOKST -8.5 → OKST -6.52 → DAV154.5 → 154.5no move
SFA @ TLSATLSA -7.5 → TLSA -5.52 → SFA153.5 → 149.5▼ 4
UNCW @ YALEYALE -5.5 → YALE -4.51 → UNCW145.5 → 148.5▲ 3
WYO @ WICHWICH -6.5 → WICH -5.51 → WYO147.5 → 148.5▲ 1
USA @ AUBAUB -17.5 → AUB -18.51 → AUB152.5 → 151.5▼ 1
UMBC vs HOWHOW -1.5 → HOW -1.5no move142.5 → 143.5▲ 1
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
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FinalNIT
22-7 · #160
77
22-9 · #93
71
Spread
GMU -2.5
✓ LIB W ATS
Total
141.5 ▼2
▲ Over 148
Projected
66–72
✗ GMU lost
Model: GMU by 3.8 ✗ Model: Under 3.2 ✗
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
UMBC
22-8 · #264 AP #16
83
19-10 · #197 AP #16
86
Spread
HOW -1.5
✓ HOW W ATS
Total
143.5 ▲1
▲ Over 169
Projected
74–73
✗ UMBC lost
Model: UMBC by 2.3 ✗ Model: Over 2.8 ✓
FinalNIT
24-6 · #120
68
Yale
22-6 · #126
67
Spread
YALE -4.5
✓ UNCW W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲3
▼ Under 135
Projected
69–76
✗ YALE lost
Model: YALE by 2.0 ✗ Model: Under 3.3 ✓
FinalNIT
17-14 · #122
70
21-11 · #77
74
Spread
WICH -5.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲1
▼ Under 144
Projected
71–76
✓ WICH won
Model: WYO by 0.3 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalNIT
18-13 · #115
80
19-14 · #45
84
Spread
OKST -6.5
✓ DAV W ATS
Total
154.5
▲ Over 164
Projected
72–83
✓ OKST won
Model: OKST by 4.0 ✗ Model: Over 0.7 ✓
FinalNIT
26-5 · #193
84
24-7 · #108
89
Spread
TLSA -5.5
✓ SFA W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼4
▲ Over 173
Projected
71–79
✓ TLSA won
Model: TLSA by 2.9 ✗ Model: Over 1.0 ✓
FinalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
17-14 · #11 AP #11
68
20-13 · #48 AP #11
66
Spread
NCSU -1.5
✓ TEX W ATS
Total
157.5 ▼8
▼ Under 134
Projected
82–81
✓ TEX won
Model: TEX by 3.0 ✓ Model: Over 5.0 ✗
FinalNIT
21-9 · #212
52
18-13 · #119
67
Spread
SEA -2.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
145.5
▼ Under 119
Projected
70–73
✓ SEA won
Model: SEA by 0.7 ✓ Model: Under 2.9 ✓
FinalNIT
19-11 · #228
67
17-16 · #21
78
Spread
AUB -18.5
✓ USA W ATS
Total
151.5 ▼1
▼ Under 145
Projected
65–87
✓ AUB won
Model: AUB by 4.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.2 ✗
FinalNIT
UNLV
16-16 · #98
75
21-11 · #149
72
Spread
UNLV -1.5
✓ UNLV W ATS
Total
153.5 ▲2
▼ Under 147
Projected
74–76
✗ UCI lost
Model: UCI by 2.9 ✗ Model: Under 3.5 ✓
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
22-7 · #160
77
22-9 · #93
71
GMU -2.5 141.5 GMU -6.3 GMU +3.8 138.3 Under 3.2 71% GMU L L ›
Final
22-8 · #264
83
19-10 · #197
86
HOW -1.5 143.5 UMBC -0.8 UMBC +2.3 146.3 Over 2.8 53% UMBC L W ›
Final
24-6 · #120
68
22-6 · #126
67
YALE -4.5 148.5 YALE -6.5 YALE +2.0 145.2 Under 3.3 72% YALE L W ›
Final
17-14 · #122
70
21-11 · #77
74
WICH -5.5 148.5 WICH -5.2 WYO +0.3 146.8 Under 1.7 67% WICH W W ›
Final
18-13 · #115
80
19-14 · #45
84
OKST -6.5 154.5 OKST -10.5 OKST +4.0 155.2 Over 0.7 82% OKST L W ›
Final
26-5 · #193
84
24-7 · #108
89
TLSA -5.5 149.5 TLSA -8.4 TLSA +2.9 150.5 Over 1.0 77% TLSA L W ›
Final
17-14 · #11
68
20-13 · #48
66
NCSU -1.5 157.5 TEX -1.5 TEX +3.0 162.5 Over 5.0 55% TEX W L ›
Final
21-9 · #212
52
18-13 · #119
67
SEA -2.5 145.5 SEA -3.2 SEA +0.7 142.6 Under 2.9 61% SEA W W ›
Final
19-11 · #228
67
17-16 · #21
78
AUB -18.5 151.5 AUB -22.6 AUB +4.1 151.7 Over 0.2 98% AUB L L ›
Final
16-16 · #98
75
21-11 · #149
72
UNLV -1.5 153.5 UCI -1.4 UCI +2.9 150.0 Under 3.5 55% UCI L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record