Redhawk Center · at Seattle U · NIT
Closing line
SEA -2.5✓ SEA covered by 12.5
SEA -2.5✓ SEA covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Under by 26.5
 STMN | This season | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 21-9 | Record | 18-13 |
| 15-15 | ATS | 13-18 |
| 16-14 | O/U | 12-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 70–73 SEA · ✓ SEA (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 31 | 21 | 52 |
| SEA | 30 | 37 | 67 |
1st half: STMN 31, SEA 30 (STMN by 1). The model had SEA by 1.8 and a total of 66.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| STMN | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 20-54 37% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 42 11 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 7 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale G | 34 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Nick Janowski G | 33 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5-16 | 0-5 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 28 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Austin Herro G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jack Tauer, Tommy Humphries Jr., Luka Momcilovic, Ryan Lafferty, Tim Franks, Kyle Counts, Adam Tauer
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junseok Yeo F | 37 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Brayden Maldonado G | 33 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Maleek Arington G | 33 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Will Heimbrodt F | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Austin Maurer C | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Houran Dan C | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Miles Amos G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT White, Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams, Brock Felder
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -2.5
ModelSEA -3.2
Model edgeSEA +0.7
W SEA covered
Total
Market145.5
Model142.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
STMN 69.7 · SEA 72.9
STMN 52 · SEA 67
Win probability
SEA 61%
1st half
Spread
SEA -1.8
STMN -1.0
Total
66.8
61 points
Projected score
STMN 32.5 · SEA 34.3
STMN 31 · SEA 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEA -2.5
no move
CloseSEA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
STMN +120 · SEA -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEA -2.5 · unchangedmodel SEA -3
model SEA -3
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| SEA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STMN 0–1 SEASEA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STMN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021-22 | STMN 64 @ SEA 81 | SEA -10.5 | SEA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
30 games played
Straight up
21-9
70% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMC | L 58-84 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARMY | W 83-76 | -18.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 10 | @ WSU | L 71-81 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 13 | vs GB | W 80-61 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEMO | W 84-72 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCO | W 73-72 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs CSUF | L 80-88 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | @ PORT | W 76-66 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | @ MTST | L 74-82 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | vs WEB | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNCA | W 80-59 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs UCR | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEN | W 92-88 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | vs SDAK | W 99-86 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | @ ORU | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | @ UND | W 91-80 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ NDSU | L 65-68 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | vs SDST | W 74-69 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 24 | @SDAK | W 90-78 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsUND | L 80-81 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs KC | W 99-64 | -17.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 4 | @SDST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsORU | W 92-75 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 12 | @ OMA | L 94-98 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 14 | @KC | W 104-64 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | @DEN | L 80-82 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 26 | vsNDSU | W 84-62 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | vsOMA | W 68-53 | -11.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 5 | vsSDST | W 80-67 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Mar 7 | vsUND | L 66-67 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
+4.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
−5.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
+15.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
+17.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
−0.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
−7.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
−1.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+2.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+0.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−0.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−1.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+1.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
−12.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+17.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
+16.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+1.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
−8.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+27.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−5.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
+18.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
+3.5
5
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-67
+8.5
7
vsUND
UNDL 66-67
−12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
23
@PORT
PORTW 76-66
−13.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 74-82
+8.5
7
vsWEB
WEBW 88-65
−1.5
13
@UNCA
UNCAW 80-59
−9.5
20
vsUCR
UCRW 92-78
+17.5
4
vsDEN
DENW 92-88
+16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKW 99-86
+22.5
10
@ORU
ORUW 82-71
+0.5
15
@UND
UNDW 91-80
+19.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-68
−18.5
22
vsSDST
SDSTW 74-69
−12.5
24
@SDAK
SDAKW 90-78
+6.5
29
vsUND
UNDL 80-81
+8.5
1
vsKC
KCW 99-64
+11.5
4
@SDST
SDSTW 77-62
−18.5
7
vsORU
ORUW 92-75
+15.5
12
@OMA
OMAL 94-98
+35.5
14
@KC
KCW 104-64
+13.5
21
@DEN
DENL 80-82
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUW 84-62
−9.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 68-53
−37.5
5
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsUND
UNDL 66-67
−20.5
over 16under 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Seattle U
31 games played
Straight up
18-13
58% wins
Against the spread
13-18
42% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsDEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs EWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCD | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs WASH | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTSA | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SF | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsWSU | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @ GONZ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | @SMC | L 76-93 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORST | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 15 | vs USD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsGONZ | L 50-71 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vs LMU | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ PAC | L 54-56 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @WSU | L 58-70 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 4 | vs PEPP | W 83-81 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @PORT | L 53-54 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 11 | @ SCU | L 72-84 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 15 | vsORST | W 60-50 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 18 | vsSMC | L 70-72 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 21 | vsPORT | W 71-59 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 25 | @PEPP | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @LMU | W 71-66 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 6 | vsUSD | W 58-56 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 114 |
| Mar 7 | vsPAC | L 58-61 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 129.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
−1.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
+11.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−7.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−10.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
+7.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
+16.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
−5.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−17.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
+1.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−11.5
21
vsLMU
LMUW 69-59
+5.5
24
@PAC
PACL 54-56
−0.5
28
@WSU
WSUL 58-70
−10.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-81
−10.5
7
@PORT
PORTL 53-54
−4.5
11
@SCU
SCUL 72-84
+0.5
15
vsORST
ORSTW 60-50
+3.5
18
vsSMC
SMCL 70-72
+7.5
21
vsPORT
PORTW 71-59
+4.5
25
@PEPP
PEPPW 87-80
−0.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-66
+6.5
6
vsUSD
USDW 58-56
−6.5
7
vsPAC
PACL 58-61
−1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 18avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
+13.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
−15.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−9.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−20.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
−20.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
−3.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
+29.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−16.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
−8.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−29.5
21
vsLMU
LMUW 69-59
−13.5
24
@PAC
PACL 54-56
−27.5
28
@WSU
WSUL 58-70
−14.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-81
+24.5
7
@PORT
PORTL 53-54
−36.5
11
@SCU
SCUL 72-84
+8.5
15
vsORST
ORSTW 60-50
−26.5
18
vsSMC
SMCL 70-72
+8.5
21
vsPORT
PORTW 71-59
−10.5
25
@PEPP
PEPPW 87-80
+21.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-66
+0.5
6
vsUSD
USDW 58-56
−25.5
7
vsPAC
PACL 58-61
−10.5
over 12under 19avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
21-9 overall · 13-5 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs North Dakota66–67
- Wvs S Dakota St80–67
- Wvs Omaha68–53
- Wvs N Dakota St84–62
- L@ Denver80–82
A week or more of rest.
Seattle U
18-13 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Pacific58–61
- Wvs San Diego58–56
- W@ LMU71–66
- W@ Pepperdine87–80
- Wvs Portland71–59
A week or more of rest.