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Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 64.8
Projected
31–34
✗ GMU lost
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.4
Projected
35–34
✗ UMBC lost
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 67.9
Projected
32–36
✓ YALE won
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 68.7
Projected
33–36
✓ WICH won
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 72.5
Projected
33–39
✗ OKST lost
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.3
Projected
33–38
✗ TLSA lost
Half finalNeutral site · NCAA Tournament
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 75.9
Projected
38–38
✓ TEX won
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 66.8
Projected
33–34
✗ SEA lost
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.9
Projected
29–42
✗ AUB lost
Half finalNIT
1H spread
—
no 1H line yet
1H total
—
model 70.1
Projected
35–35
✗ UCI lost
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half final |  22-7 · #160  22-9 · #93 |
— | — | GMU -3.6 | — | 64.8 | — | 65% GMU | › | |
| Half final |  22-8 · #264  19-10 · #197 |
— | — | UMBC -0.6 | — | 68.4 | — | 53% UMBC | › | |
| Half final |  24-6 · #120  22-6 · #126 |
— | — | YALE -3.8 | — | 67.9 | — | 66% YALE | › | |
| Half final |  17-14 · #122  21-11 · #77 |
— | — | WICH -3.0 | — | 68.7 | — | 63% WICH | › | |
| Half final |  18-13 · #115  19-14 · #45 |
— | — | OKST -6.2 | — | 72.5 | — | 75% OKST | › | |
| Half final |  26-5 · #193  24-7 · #108 |
— | — | TLSA -4.9 | — | 70.3 | — | 70% TLSA | › | |
| Half final |  17-14 · #11  20-13 · #48 |
— | — | TEX -1.0 | — | 75.9 | — | 54% TEX | › | |
| Half final |  21-9 · #212  18-13 · #119 |
— | — | SEA -1.8 | — | 66.8 | — | 58% SEA | › | |
| Half final |  19-11 · #228  17-16 · #21 |
— | — | AUB -13.3 | — | 70.9 | — | 93% AUB | › | |
| Half final |  16-16 · #98  21-11 · #149 |
— | — | UCI -0.7 | — | 70.1 | — | 53% UCI | › |
The model’s 1st half is fitted from its full-game numbers and past halves; ESPN posts no 1st-half lines for college games. The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record