John J. Lee Amphitheater · at Yale · NIT
Closing line
YALE -4.5✓ UNCW covered by 5.5
YALE -4.5✓ UNCW covered by 5.5Closing total148.5Under by 13.5
 UNCW | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 24-6 | Record | 22-6 |
| 15-15 | ATS | 12-16 |
| 17-13 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 69–76 YALE · ✗ YALE (72%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 26 | 42 | 68 |
| YALE | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: UNCW 26, YALE 32 (YALE by 6). The model had YALE by 3.8 and a total of 67.9 (actual 58).
Team stats
| UNCW | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-69 36% | Field goals | 25-67 37% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 9-22 41% |
| 48 19 off | Rebounds | 49 20 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 34 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Christian May G | 33 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 5-14 | 4-9 |
| Greedy Williams G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Noah Ross G | 30 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 28 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-4 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Grady Whitt, CJ Luster II, Makel Smith, Gavin Walsh, JoJo Fullwood, Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 35 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 34 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 8-13 | 4-5 |
| Casey Simmons G | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 29 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-11 | 2-7 |
| Samson Aletan C | 26 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Riley Fox F | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Devon Arlington G | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jeannot Basima, Courtney Wallace, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving, Daniel Ogunyemi
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -5.5
1 → UNCW
CloseYALE -4.5
1 pt toward UNCW
Total
Open145.5
▲ 3
Close148.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW +180 · YALE -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -5.5 · closed YALE -4.5 · moved 1 toward UNCWmodel YALE -6.5
model YALE -6.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -4.5 | YALE -6.5 | YALE +2.0 | L UNCW covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 145.2 | Under 3.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNCW 69.3 · YALE 75.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -3.8 | YALE -6.0 |
| 1H total | 67.9 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | UNCW 32.1 · YALE 35.8 | UNCW 26 · YALE 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
30 games played
Straight up
24-6
80% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs DREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | @ STBK | W 75-71 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs CAM | W 78-75 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 22 | @ W&M | L 70-77 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | @HAMP | W 75-67 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 29 | @ TOW | W 82-73 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | vsW&M | L 78-85 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 9 | @ COFC | W 76-64 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 12 | vs ELON | W 65-54 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vs HOF | W 70-66 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 19 | vs MONM | W 79-69 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 21 | @CAM | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 26 | vsNCAT | W 88-65 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 1 | vsCOFC | L 76-79 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | @ELON | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 8 | vsCAM | L 70-85 | -6.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+4.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
−2.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
−3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−4.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+3.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+10.5
5
vsW&M
W&ML 78-85
−11.5
9
@COFC
COFCW 76-64
+13.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 65-54
+2.5
14
vsHOF
HOFW 70-66
+1.5
19
vsMONM
MONMW 79-69
+2.5
21
@CAM
CAMW 73-68
+1.5
26
vsNCAT
NCATW 88-65
+9.5
1
vsCOFC
COFCL 76-79
−8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 76-57
+14.5
8
vsCAM
CAML 70-85
−21.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+22.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
+12.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
+3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−12.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+5.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+19.5
5
vsW&M
W&ML 78-85
+3.5
9
@COFC
COFCW 76-64
−8.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 65-54
−30.5
14
vsHOF
HOFW 70-66
−1.5
19
vsMONM
MONMW 79-69
+3.5
21
@CAM
CAMW 73-68
−9.5
26
vsNCAT
NCATW 88-65
+6.5
1
vsCOFC
COFCL 76-79
+8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 76-57
−12.5
8
vsCAM
CAML 70-85
+5.5
over 17under 13avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
28 games played
Straight up
22-6
79% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vsSTBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vsCOFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs COR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vs COLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vs DART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs HARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HARV | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | vsPENN | W 74-70 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @COR | L 69-72 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @COLU | W 60-54 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 114 |
| Mar 7 | vsPRIN | W 78-53 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 14 | vsCOR | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 15 | vsPENN | L 84-88 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
−3.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−5.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−7.5
28
@COLU
COLUW 60-54
−0.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 78-53
+10.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 88-76
+6.5
15
vsPENN
PENNL 84-88
−13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
+12.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−6.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−23.5
28
@COLU
COLUW 60-54
−33.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 78-53
−6.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 88-76
+0.5
15
vsPENN
PENNL 84-88
+27.5
over 15under 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
24-6 overall · 15-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Campbell70–85
- W@ Elon76–57
- Lvs Charleston76–79
- Wvs NC A&T88–65
- W@ Campbell73–68
A week or more of rest.
Yale
22-6 overall · 12-4 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Penn84–88
- Wvs Cornell88–76
- Wvs Princeton78–53
- W@ Columbia60–54
- L@ Cornell69–72
2 days since their last game.