Levien Gymnasium · at Columbia · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -6.5✓ COLU covered by 0.5
YALE -6.5✓ COLU covered by 0.5Closing total147.5Under by 33.5
| YALE | This season | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| 19-5 | Record | 14-10 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 13-11 |
| 13-11 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 79–73 COLU · ✓ YALE (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 34 | 26 | 60 |
| COLU | 25 | 29 | 54 |
1st half: YALE 34, COLU 25 (YALE by 9). The model had YALE by 3.2 and a total of 71.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| YALE | COLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-40 55% | Field goals | 21-58 36% |
| 4-13 31% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 30 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 5 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 33 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 30 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Casey Simmons G | 28 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Samson Aletan C | 24 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Devon Arlington G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Riley Fox F | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeannot Basima G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Courtney Wallace, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving, Daniel Ogunyemi
| COLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Noland G | 40 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-18 | 3-11 |
| Mason Ritter F | 33 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Blair Thompson F | 31 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Miles Franklin G | 28 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Connor Igoe F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hampton Sanders G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Soulis F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Gerard O'Keefe G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Leland Coleman F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Richard Nweke F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nigel Clarkson, Nicolo Romanelli, Dan Vessey, Edwin Bai, Zine Eddine Bedri, Avery Brown, Josiah Cunningham
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -6.5
ModelYALE -5.3
Model edgeCOLU +1.3
W COLU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model152.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
L Under
Projected score
YALE 78.7 · COLU 73.4
YALE 60 · COLU 54
Win probability
YALE 68%
1st half
Spread
YALE -3.2
YALE -9.0
Total
71.2
59 points
Projected score
YALE 37.2 · COLU 34
YALE 34 · COLU 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -5.5
1 → YALE
CloseYALE -6.5
1 pt toward YALE
Total
Open151.5
▼ 4
Close147.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -270 · COLU +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -5.5 · closed YALE -6.5 · moved 1 toward YALEmodel YALE -5.5
model YALE -5.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| COLU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YALE 8–1 COLUYALE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 6 meetings · YALE 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | COLU 74 @ YALE 91 | YALE -9.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | COLU 64 @ YALE 90 | YALE -16.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | YALE 92 @ COLU 88 | COLU +7.5 | COLU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | YALE 84 @ COLU 76 | COLU +7.5 | YALE W |
| Jan 15, 2023-24 | COLU 70 @ YALE 89 | YALE -13.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
24 games played
Straight up
19-5
79% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vs COR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vs DART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs HARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HARV | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | vsPENN | W 74-70 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @COR | L 69-72 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
−3.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−5.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
+12.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−6.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−23.5
over 13under 11avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Columbia
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NHVN | W 71-53 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 10 | @ CONN | L 62-89 | +32.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs UML | W 86-72 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs BU | W 54-49 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 21 | @ LEH | W 82-67 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs LONG | W 95-70 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FAIR | W 106-77 | -3.5 | W +25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 3 | vs HOF | W 72-70 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 6 | vsUALB | W 93-65 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 9 | @STBK | L 73-77 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | @ CAL | L 56-74 | +8.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 28 | @ UNF | W 90-82 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 5 | @COR | W 104-99 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 170.5 | O 203 |
| Jan 10 | vsHARV | L 54-79 | -5.5 | L −30.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @BRWN | L 80-86 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 19 | @YALE | L 74-91 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @DART | W 79-69 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | vsPENN | W 72-67 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vsPRIN | L 68-80 | -5.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 7 | vsCOR | L 67-88 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 171.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 13 | @PENN | L 67-76 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | @PRIN | W 75-65 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 21 | vsDART | L 63-64 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 27 | vsBRWN | W 80-62 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
+10.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
+5.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+0.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
+0.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+12.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+21.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+25.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−1.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+14.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
−8.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−9.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
−3.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+8.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−30.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
−8.5
19
@YALE
YALEL 74-91
−7.5
24
@DART
DARTW 79-69
+7.5
30
vsPENN
PENNW 72-67
+0.5
31
vsPRIN
PRINL 68-80
−17.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 67-88
−19.5
13
@PENN
PENNL 67-76
−7.5
14
@PRIN
PRINW 75-65
+8.5
21
vsDART
DARTL 63-64
−7.5
27
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-62
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NHVN
NHVNW 71-53
−24.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 62-89
−4.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 86-72
+1.5
18
vsBU
BUW 54-49
−41.5
21
@LEH
LEHW 82-67
+5.5
23
vsLONG
LONGW 95-70
+11.5
26
@FAIR
FAIRW 106-77
+32.5
3
vsHOF
HOFW 72-70
−2.5
6
vsUALB
UALBW 93-65
+13.5
9
@STBK
STBKL 73-77
+3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 56-74
−23.5
28
@UNF
UNFW 90-82
+9.5
5
@COR
CORW 104-99
+32.5
10
vsHARV
HARVL 54-79
−12.5
17
@BRWN
BRWNL 80-86
+22.5
19
@YALE
YALEL 74-91
+14.5
24
@DART
DARTW 79-69
−8.5
30
vsPENN
PENNW 72-67
−14.5
31
vsPRIN
PRINL 68-80
+8.5
7
vsCOR
CORL 67-88
−16.5
13
@PENN
PENNL 67-76
−5.5
14
@PRIN
PRINW 75-65
+2.5
21
vsDART
DARTL 63-64
−23.5
27
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-62
+1.5
over 13under 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
19-5 overall · 9-3 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cornell69–72
- Wvs Penn74–70
- W@ Harvard76–75
- W@ Dartmouth83–70
- W@ Howard87–81
1 day since their last game.
Columbia
14-10 overall · 5-7 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown80–62
- Lvs Dartmouth63–64
- W@ Princeton75–65
- L@ Penn67–76
- Lvs Cornell67–88
1 day since their last game.