Newman Arena · at Cornell · Conference game
Closing line
YALE -4.5✓ COR covered by 7.5
YALE -4.5✓ COR covered by 7.5Closing total164.5Under by 23.5
| YALE | This season | COR |
|---|---|---|
| 19-4 | Record | 10-12 |
| 10-13 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 13-10 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 88–83 COR · ✗ YALE (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 30 | 39 | 69 |
| COR | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: YALE 30, COR 35 (COR by 5). The model had YALE by 2.7 and a total of 79.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| YALE | COR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 26-54 48% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 14-35 40% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 28 7 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 38 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 33 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-3 |
| Casey Simmons G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Samson Aletan C | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Riley Fox F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Devon Arlington G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Jack Sullivan, Alvin Loving, Daniel Ogunyemi, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
| COR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fiegen G | 32 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Cooper Noard G | 31 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 6-16 | 4-12 |
| Josh Baldwin G | 27 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Adam Hinton G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Jacob Beccles G | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kaspar Sepp F | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Nimani G | 22 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Corbin Zentner G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gioacchino Panzini F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| DJ Nix F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Lecklitner, DaMaryon Fishburn, Elijah Griffin, Jax Abalos, Ryan Burbach, AJ Rodriguez, Ty Iwanonkiw, Mateen Rafiq, Ian Imegwu, AJ LaBeau
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -4.5
ModelYALE -4.3
Model edgeCOR +0.2
W COR covered
Total
Market164.5
Model170.8
Model edgeOver 6.3
L Under
Projected score
YALE 87.5 · COR 83.3
YALE 69 · COR 72
Win probability
YALE 65%
1st half
Spread
YALE -2.7
COR -5.0
Total
79.8
65 points
Projected score
YALE 41.2 · COR 38.6
YALE 30 · COR 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -2.5
2 → YALE
CloseYALE -4.5
2 pts toward YALE
Total
Open165.5
▼ 1
Close164.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -225 · COR +185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -2.5 · closed YALE -4.5 · moved 2 toward YALEmodel YALE -4.5 matches the line
model YALE -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 165.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 1 downmodel 171
model 171
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| COR | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
YALE 9–3 CORYALE leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 5 meetings · YALE 7-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | COR 68 @ YALE 102 | YALE -9.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 16, 2024-25 | COR 84 vs YALE 90 | YALE -5.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | COR 88 @ YALE 92 | YALE -11.5 | COR W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | YALE 103 @ COR 88 | COR +3.5 | YALE W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | COR 57 vs YALE 69 | YALE -2.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
23 games played
Straight up
19-4
83% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @ BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vs COLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vs DART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs HARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HARV | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | vsPENN | W 74-70 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
−3.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
+12.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−6.5
over 13under 10avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cornell
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ KENT | L 102-110 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 9 | @ ILST | L 65-76 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 13 | @ LAF | W 97-78 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 18 | vs ARMY | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 20 | vs COLG | W 95-94 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 30 | @ BUCK | W 101-72 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 2 | @ GMU | L 81-99 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 3 | @ TOW | L 80-93 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ SAM | L 90-93 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 21 | @UALB | W 83-75 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 29 | @ MSU | L 97-114 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 5 | vsCOLU | L 99-104 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 170.5 | O 203 |
| Jan 10 | vsDART | L 91-102 | -9.5 | L −20.5 | 175.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 17 | @YALE | L 68-102 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | @BRWN | W 89-67 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 24 | @HARV | W 86-79 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | vsPRIN | W 87-64 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsPENN | L 81-91 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | @COLU | W 88-67 | -1.5 | W +19.5 | 171.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 13 | @PRIN | W 89-65 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 14 | @PENN | L 76-82 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 169.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsHARV | L 54-73 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 155.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@KENT
KENTL 102-110
−1.5
9
@ILST
ILSTL 65-76
−4.5
13
@LAF
LAFW 97-78
+14.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYW 86-73
−4.5
20
vsCOLG
COLGW 95-94
−4.5
30
@BUCK
BUCKW 101-72
+23.5
2
@GMU
GMUL 81-99
−7.5
3
@TOW
TOWL 80-93
−6.5
7
@SAM
SAML 90-93
−0.5
21
@UALB
UALBW 83-75
+1.5
29
@MSU
MSUL 97-114
+6.5
5
vsCOLU
COLUL 99-104
−8.5
10
vsDART
DARTL 91-102
−20.5
17
@YALE
YALEL 68-102
−24.5
19
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-67
+19.5
24
@HARV
HARVW 86-79
+8.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-64
+15.5
31
vsPENN
PENNL 81-91
−17.5
7
@COLU
COLUW 88-67
+19.5
13
@PRIN
PRINW 89-65
+20.5
14
@PENN
PENNL 76-82
−8.5
21
vsHARV
HARVL 54-73
−23.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@KENT
KENTL 102-110
+47.5
9
@ILST
ILSTL 65-76
−23.5
13
@LAF
LAFW 97-78
+14.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYW 86-73
−5.5
20
vsCOLG
COLGW 95-94
+27.5
30
@BUCK
BUCKW 101-72
+13.5
2
@GMU
GMUL 81-99
+24.5
3
@TOW
TOWL 80-93
+18.5
7
@SAM
SAML 90-93
+16.5
21
@UALB
UALBW 83-75
−9.5
29
@MSU
MSUL 97-114
+50.5
5
vsCOLU
COLUL 99-104
+32.5
10
vsDART
DARTL 91-102
+17.5
17
@YALE
YALEL 68-102
−4.5
19
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-67
−7.5
24
@HARV
HARVW 86-79
+4.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 87-64
−7.5
31
vsPENN
PENNL 81-91
−1.5
7
@COLU
COLUW 88-67
−16.5
13
@PRIN
PRINW 89-65
−1.5
14
@PENN
PENNL 76-82
−11.5
21
vsHARV
HARVL 54-73
−28.5
over 11under 11avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
19-4 overall · 9-2 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn74–70
- W@ Harvard76–75
- W@ Dartmouth83–70
- W@ Howard87–81
- Wvs Brown81–69
6 days since their last game.
Cornell
10-12 overall · 5-6 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Harvard54–73
- L@ Penn76–82
- W@ Princeton89–65
- W@ Columbia88–67
- Lvs Penn81–91
6 days since their last game.