Kaplan Arena · at William & Mary · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -2.5✓ W&M covered by 4.5
W&M -2.5✓ W&M covered by 4.5Closing total159.5Under by 12.5
 UNCW | This season | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| 15-2 | Record | 10-6 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 11-5 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 77–78 W&M · ✓ W&M (54%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 28 | 42 | 70 |
| W&M | 42 | 35 | 77 |
1st half: UNCW 28, W&M 42 (W&M by 14). The model had W&M by 0.5 and a total of 72.5 (actual 70).
Team stats
| UNCW | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-58 33% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 22-33 67% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 44 14 off | Rebounds | 36 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 38 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 2-12 | 2-11 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 37 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Greedy Williams G | 35 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Christian May G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Noah Ross G | 27 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 23 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-2 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Makoi Mabor Makoi, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah, Gavin Walsh
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 28 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 28 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 25 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Chase Lowe G | 21 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 21 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 25 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Kyle Frazier G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Lamine Ndaw, Ethan Connery, Miles Hicks, Kaleb Spencer
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -1.5
4 → W&M
CloseW&M -2.5
4 pts toward W&M
Total
Open157.5
▲ 2
Close159.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW +120 · W&M -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -1.5 · closed W&M -2.5 · moved 4 toward W&Mmodel W&M -1
model W&M -1
Opened 157.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | W&M -2.5 | W&M -1.0 | UNCW +1.5 | L W&M covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 154.7 | Under 4.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNCW 76.9 · W&M 77.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | W&M -0.5 | W&M -14.0 |
| 1H total | 72.5 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | UNCW 36 · W&M 36.5 | UNCW 28 · W&M 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 9-1 90% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
| W&M | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UNCW 6–1 W&MUNCW leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UNCW has won the last 4 meetings · UNCW 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | UNCW 79 @ W&M 70 | W&M +2.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | W&M 74 @ UNCW 85 | UNCW -6.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UNCW 81 @ W&M 65 | W&M +10.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | UNCW 70 @ W&M 63 | W&M +6.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | W&M 69 @ UNCW 67 | UNCW -12.5 | W&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
17 games played
Straight up
15-2
88% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs DREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | @ STBK | W 75-71 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs CAM | W 78-75 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+4.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
−2.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+22.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
+12.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
+3.5
over 10under 7avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
William & Mary
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
11-5
69% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vsRAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vsSTBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vsNCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
over 7under 9avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
15-2 overall · 6-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Campbell78–75
- W@ Stony Brook75–71
- W@ Northeastern87–78
- Wvs Hampton49–45
- Wvs Drexel65–53
5 days since their last game.
William & Mary
10-6 overall · 3-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC A&T97–89
- L@ Drexel58–64
- L@ Monmouth70–81
- L@ Charleston79–88
- Wvs Stony Brook76–57
A week or more of rest.