John Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
ACU -1.5✓ W&M covered by 35.5
ACU -1.5✓ W&M covered by 35.5Closing total147.5Over by 2.5
 W&M | This season | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 0-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 74–72 ACU · ✓ W&M (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 39 | 53 | 92 |
| ACU | 32 | 26 | 58 |
1st half: W&M 39, ACU 32 (W&M by 7). The model had W&M by 1.8 and a total of 68.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| W&M | ACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-51 65% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 20-30 67% | Free throws | 6-17 35% |
| 31 5 off | Rebounds | 30 14 off |
| 20 | Assists | 15 |
| 12 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 14 | Fouls | 23 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 33 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 31 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Chase Lowe G | 29 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 26 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Kyle Pulliam G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 24 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 19 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Frazier G | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Colin Lamine Ndaw G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Finn Lally, Reese Miller, Ethan Connery, Kaleb Spencer, Miles Hicks
| ACU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Smith G | 28 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bradyn Hubbard F | 24 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Yaniel Rivera G | 24 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Ma'Shy Hill F | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Venzant G | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zy Wright G | 25 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Christian Alston G | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Cade Hornecker F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Joseph Scott F | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Dye G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Neyhart G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cbo Newton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tylan Lewis G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketACU -1.5
ModelW&M -2.7
Model edgeW&M +4.2
W W&M covered
Total
Market147.5
Model145.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
L Over
Projected score
W&M 74.3 · ACU 71.6
W&M 92 · ACU 58
Win probability
W&M 59%
1st half
Spread
W&M -1.8
W&M -7.0
Total
68.4
71 points
Projected score
W&M 35.1 · ACU 33.3
W&M 39 · ACU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -1.5
3 → ACU
CloseACU -1.5
3 pts toward ACU
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
W&M -108 · ACU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -1.5 · closed ACU -1.5 · moved 3 toward ACUmodel W&M -2.5
model W&M -2.5
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&Mlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
| ACUlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 0-4 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@
RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@
SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@
BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vs
UTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
over 2under 3avg −9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Abilene Chrstn
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −16.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
OMA
OMAW 73-71
−2.5
14
@
SFA
SFAL 66-76
−3.5
18
@
TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−12.5
24
vs
UTSA
UTSAW 61-50
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsOMA
OMAW 73-71
−6.5
14
@SFA
SFAL 66-76
−0.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−26.5
24
vsUTSA
UTSAW 61-50
−33.5
over 0under 4avg −16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP74–63
- W@ Bowling Green82–74
- L@ St John's60–93
- L@ Richmond86–90
- W@ Norfolk St81–78
1 day since their last game.
Abilene Chrstn
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTSA61–50
- L@ Texas St49–63
- L@ SF Austin66–76
- Wvs Omaha73–71
1 day since their last game.