Cabot Center · at Northeastern · Conference game
Closing line
UNCW -4.5✓ UNCW covered by 4.5
UNCW -4.5✓ UNCW covered by 4.5Closing total142.5Over by 22.5
| UNCW | This season | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2 | Record | 5-9 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 75–72 NE · ✓ UNCW (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 44 | 43 | 87 |
| NE | 40 | 38 | 78 |
1st half: UNCW 44, NE 40 (UNCW by 4). The model had UNCW by 2.2 and a total of 69.0 (actual 84).
Team stats
| UNCW | NE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 30-34 88% | Free throws | 14-24 58% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greedy Williams G | 37 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 36 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-5 |
| Noah Ross G | 35 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 26 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Christian May G | 26 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Gavin Walsh
| NE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane G | 38 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Ty Francis F | 36 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Youri Fritz F | 29 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| William Kermoury G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| JB Frankel G | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Xavier Abreu G | 22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Ryan Williams G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Petar Pinter C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller F | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Haris Elezovic F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Liam Koelsch, Miles Newton, Xander Alarie, LA Pratt
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -3.5
1 → UNCW
CloseUNCW -4.5
1 pt toward UNCW
Total
Open145.5
▼ 3
Close142.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW -205 · NE +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -3.5 · closed UNCW -4.5 · moved 1 toward UNCWmodel UNCW -3.5
model UNCW -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNCW -4.5 | UNCW -3.4 | NE +1.1 | L UNCW covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 147.4 | Over 4.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNCW 75.4 · NE 72 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNCW -2.2 | UNCW -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | UNCW 35.6 · NE 33.4 | UNCW 44 · NE 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| NE | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNCW 5–0 NEUNCW leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UNCW has won the last 5 meetings · UNCW 5-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | NE 72 @ UNCW 80 | UNCW -6.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | UNCW 77 @ NE 54 | NE +2.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | NE 59 @ UNCW 71 | UNCW -8.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 27, 2021-22 | NE 62 @ UNCW 67 | UNCW -4 | UNCW W |
| Jan 24, 2021-22 | UNCW 74 @ NE 68 | NE -2.5 | UNCW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
14 games played
Straight up
12-2
86% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs DREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
over 7under 7avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northeastern
14 games played
Straight up
5-9
36% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +9.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BU | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ COLG | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ HARV | W 77-60 | +5.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVM | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 20 | @ PRIN | L 57-70 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | vs DUQ | W 93-86 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 28 | @ WAKE | L 73-86 | +17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ HC | L 59-76 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CCSU | W 73-56 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 20 | @ SYR | L 83-91 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | @ URI | L 77-85 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 29 | @ ELON | L 91-103 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | @NCAT | W 85-74 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ CAM | L 82-97 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
−3.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
+8.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
+22.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
−12.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−10.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+14.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−25.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
+15.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+6.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+2.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
−7.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
−11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBU
BUL 75-76
+8.5
7
@COLG
COLGW 68-65
−14.5
11
@HARV
HARVW 77-60
−7.5
15
vsUVM
UVML 74-85
+24.5
20
@PRIN
PRINL 57-70
−18.5
22
vsDUQ
DUQW 93-86
+31.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-86
+4.5
3
@HC
HCL 59-76
−10.5
7
vsCCSU
CCSUW 73-56
−9.5
20
@SYR
SYRL 83-91
+33.5
22
@URI
URIL 77-85
+17.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 91-103
+40.5
31
@NCAT
NCATW 85-74
+7.5
3
@CAM
CAML 82-97
+24.5
over 9under 5avg +9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
12-2 overall · 3-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hampton49–45
- Wvs Drexel65–53
- W@ NC A&T87–78
- Lvs Howard66–67
- W@ Valparaiso73–70
5 days since their last game.
Northeastern
5-9 overall · 1-2 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Campbell82–97
- W@ NC A&T85–74
- L@ Elon91–103
- L@ Rhode Island77–85
- L@ Syracuse83–91
5 days since their last game.