MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -1.5✓ SIE covered by 17.5
SIE -1.5✓ SIE covered by 17.5Closing total133.5Under by 14.5
 MRST | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 13-7 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 65–65 SIE · ✓ SIE (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 36 | 14 | 50 |
| SIE | 30 | 39 | 69 |
1st half: MRST 36, SIE 30 (MRST by 6). The model had SIE by 0.1 and a total of 60.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MRST | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 38% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 5-11 45% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 14-14 100% |
| 24 3 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Menard G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Jason Schofield C | 26 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 24 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Myles Parker F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trace Salton F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antoni Vlogianitis, Ricky McKenzie, Martin Kawa, Tarik Watson
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Coyle G | 38 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Gavin Doty G | 36 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-4 |
| Justice Shoats G | 32 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 6-15 | 0-0 |
| Francis Folefac F | 32 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 30 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Jones G | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Chris Torres, Tajae Jones, Cooper Nadler, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Owen Schlager, Danny Murray, Reid Ducharme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -1.5
ModelSIE -0.4
Model edgeMRST +1.1
L SIE covered
Total
Market133.5
Model129.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
W Under
Projected score
MRST 64.8 · SIE 65.1
MRST 50 · SIE 69
Win probability
SIE 51%
1st half
Spread
SIE -0.1
MRST -6.0
Total
60.9
66 points
Projected score
MRST 30.4 · SIE 30.5
MRST 36 · SIE 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -1.5
no move
CloseSIE -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open133.5
no move
Close133.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MRST -102 · SIE -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -1.5 · unchangedmodel SIE -0.5
model SIE -0.5
Opened 133.5 · unchangedmodel 130
model 130
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| SIE | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MRST 5–3 SIEMRST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MRST has won the last 4 meetings · MRST 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | MRST 65 @ SIE 64 | SIE -2.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | SIE 67 @ MRST 72 | MRST -5.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | MRST 67 @ SIE 51 | SIE +4.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 21, 2023-24 | SIE 48 @ MRST 50 | MRST -6.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 12, 2022-23 | MRST 65 @ SIE 73 | SIE -9.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs MAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs IONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @ RID | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs FAIR | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | vs MRMK | L 55-68 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
+11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+6.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−19.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
−11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+7.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−10.5
over 7under 10avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
over 7under 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
11-6 overall · 6-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Merrimack55–68
- Wvs Fairfield82–67
- W@ Rider71–49
- W@ Sacred Heart76–72
- Wvs Iona83–38
3 days since their last game.
Siena
13-7 overall · 6-3 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fairfield85–77
- W@ Manhattan74–59
- Lvs Sacred Heart80–86
- W@ Mount St Marys67–50
- Lvs Merrimack59–63
3 days since their last game.