McCann Arena · at Marist · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -8.5✓ MRST covered by 6.5
MRST -8.5✓ MRST covered by 6.5Closing total141.5Over by 7.5
 FAIR | This season | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| 10-7 | Record | 10-5 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 64–74 MRST · ✓ MRST (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| MRST | 43 | 39 | 82 |
1st half: FAIR 29, MRST 43 (MRST by 14). The model had MRST by 5.9 and a total of 65.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| FAIR | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 19-27 70% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 7 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 23 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 34 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 28 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Deuce Turner G | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Eric Mejia G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Zan F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Aidan May, Tanner Ostop, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Cam Estevez, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 29 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Justin Menard G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Lewis G | 26 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 21 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jason Schofield C | 12 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Myles Parker F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 17 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 12 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Martin Kawa G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ricky McKenzie G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antoni Vlogianitis, Trace Salton, Tarik Watson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -9.5
1 → FAIR
CloseMRST -8.5
1 pt toward FAIR
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +320 · MRST -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -9.5 · closed MRST -8.5 · moved 1 toward FAIRmodel MRST -10
model MRST -10
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MRST -8.5 | MRST -10.1 | MRST +1.6 | W MRST covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 138.8 | Under 2.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | FAIR 64.3 · MRST 74.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MRST -5.9 | MRST -14.0 |
| 1H total | 65.0 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | FAIR 29.6 · MRST 35.4 | FAIR 29 · MRST 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MRST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
FAIR 6–3 MRSTFAIR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · FAIR 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | MRST 56 @ FAIR 59 | FAIR +6.5 | FAIR W |
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | FAIR 51 @ MRST 61 | MRST -7.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | MRST 61 vs FAIR 65 | FAIR -5.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | FAIR 55 @ MRST 58 | MRST +1.5 | MRST W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | MRST 61 @ FAIR 82 | FAIR -1.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ CCSU | W 84-70 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 29 | vs SPU | L 66-70 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ CAN | L 81-85 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | @ NIA | W 83-75 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | vs RID | W 68-62 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsMAN | W 98-62 | -6.5 | W +29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+20.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−6.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
−10.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+4.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−2.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+29.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
18
@CCSU
CCSUW 84-70
+10.5
29
vsSPU
SPUL 66-70
−4.5
2
@CAN
CANL 81-85
+25.5
4
@NIA
NIAW 83-75
+19.5
9
vsRID
RIDW 68-62
−15.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 98-62
+1.5
over 9under 8avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marist
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vsMAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs IONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @RID | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
−11.5
over 6under 9avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
10-7 overall · 3-4 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Manhattan98–62
- Wvs Rider68–62
- W@ Niagara83–75
- L@ Canisius81–85
- Lvs Saint Peter's66–70
3 days since their last game.
Marist
10-5 overall · 5-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rider71–49
- W@ Sacred Heart76–72
- Wvs Iona83–38
- L@ Saint Peter's59–69
- L@ Quinnipiac58–64
6 days since their last game.