Kaplan Arena · at William & Mary · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -1.5✓ W&M covered by 12.5
W&M -1.5✓ W&M covered by 12.5Closing total157.5Under by 3.5
 TOW | This season | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 7-3 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 9-1 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 74–76 W&M · ✓ W&M (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| W&M | 38 | 46 | 84 |
1st half: TOW 27, W&M 38 (W&M by 11). The model had W&M by 1.0 and a total of 70.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TOW | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 11 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson G | 39 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Tyler Tejada F | 38 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 21 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 19 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Mor Seck C | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Conway G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Holmes, Jon Barton, Ryan Skerry, Jaiden Cole, Abdou Samb
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Chase Lowe G | 26 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 23 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Cade Haskins F | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ethan Connery, Kaleb Spencer, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Miles Hicks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -1.5
ModelW&M -1.9
Model edgeW&M +0.4
W W&M covered
Total
Market157.5
Model149.9
Model edgeUnder 7.6
W Under
Projected score
TOW 74 · W&M 75.9
TOW 70 · W&M 84
Win probability
W&M 57%
1st half
Spread
W&M -1.0
W&M -11.0
Total
70.2
65 points
Projected score
TOW 34.6 · W&M 35.6
TOW 27 · W&M 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -1.5
no move
CloseW&M -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▲ 4
Close157.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
TOW +114 · W&M -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -1.5 · unchangedmodel W&M -2
model W&M -2
Opened 153.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| W&M | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TOW 6–1 W&MTOW leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TOW has won the last 3 meetings · TOW 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | W&M 73 @ TOW 88 | TOW -6.5 | TOW W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | W&M 56 vs TOW 67 | TOW -11.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | TOW 61 @ W&M 52 | W&M +8.5 | TOW W |
| Feb 13, 2022-23 | TOW 66 @ W&M 68 | W&M +10.5 | W&M W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | W&M 73 @ TOW 92 | TOW -13.5 | TOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ HOU | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs NORF | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ JMU | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs URI | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs LIB | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCSD | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs COR | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ UCF | L 61-86 | +9.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 16 | @ KU | L 49-73 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs SHU | W 72-47 | -13.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
−12.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+6.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−15.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−9.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
+21.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+18.5
7
@UCF
UCFL 61-86
−1.5
16
@KU
KUL 49-73
−15.5
22
vsSHU
SHUW 72-47
−26.5
over 4under 7avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
William & Mary
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
9-1
90% covers · avg +8.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 1avg +8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
over 5under 5avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
6-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart72–47
- L@ Kansas49–73
- L@ UCF61–86
- Wvs Cornell93–80
- Lvs UC San Diego73–87
A week or more of rest.
William & Mary
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Radford96–83
- L@ G Washington86–99
- W@ Duquesne83–79
- Wvs Old Dominion88–75
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn92–58
A week or more of rest.