Kaplan Arena · at William & Mary
Closing line
W&M -8.5✓ W&M covered by 4.5
W&M -8.5✓ W&M covered by 4.5Closing total170.5Over by 8.5
 RAD | This season | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 6-3 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 8-1 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RAD 78–87 W&M · ✓ W&M (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 38 | 45 | 83 |
| W&M | 41 | 55 | 96 |
1st half: RAD 38, W&M 41 (W&M by 3). The model had W&M by 5.0 and a total of 77.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| RAD | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-69 39% | Field goals | 32-66 48% |
| 14-42 33% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 27-31 87% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 18 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Del Jones G | 38 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 4-14 | 2-8 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 36 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 8-20 | 5-11 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-14 | 4-11 |
| Tyson Brown F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Lukas Walls G | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Mari Jordan G | 13 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Louie Jordan F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Warren Keel Jr., Zion Walker, Bradley Land, Gabriel Ferreira, Diogo Alves
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 27 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Chase Lowe G | 27 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Cade Haskins F | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Reese Miller G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Finn Lally F | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Ethan Connery, Kaleb Spencer, Miles Hicks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -8.5
ModelW&M -8.5
Model edge—
W&M covered
Total
Market170.5
Model164.6
Model edgeUnder 5.9
L Over
Projected score
RAD 78.1 · W&M 86.6
RAD 83 · W&M 96
Win probability
W&M 77%
1st half
Spread
W&M -5.0
W&M -3.0
Total
77.0
79 points
Projected score
RAD 36 · W&M 41
RAD 38 · W&M 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -8.5
no move
CloseW&M -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open166.5
▲ 4
Close170.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
RAD +330 · W&M -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -8.5 · unchangedmodel W&M -8.5 matches the line
model W&M -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 170.5 · moved 4 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| W&Mlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 8-1 89% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RAD 2–1 W&MRAD leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · RAD 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024-25 | W&M 77 @ RAD 89 | RAD +3.5 | RAD W |
| Nov 23, 2022-23 | RAD 51 @ W&M 62 | W&M +3.5 | W&M W |
| Nov 24, 2021-22 | W&M 54 @ RAD 67 | RAD -5 | RAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Radford
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
over 6under 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
William & Mary
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
8-1
89% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
over 4under 5avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Radford
3-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coppin St107–77
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves89–56
- Lvs Southern Miss75–82
- L@ SMU72–89
- Lvs UNC Wilmington73–81
4 days since their last game.
William & Mary
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ G Washington86–99
- W@ Duquesne83–79
- Wvs Old Dominion88–75
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn92–58
- Wvs UTEP74–63
A week or more of rest.