OceanFirst Bank Center · at Monmouth · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -2.5✓ MONM covered by 13.5
W&M -2.5✓ MONM covered by 13.5Closing total156.5Under by 5.5
| W&M | This season | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 6-8 |
| 11-2 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 79–77 MONM · ✗ W&M (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| MONM | 37 | 44 | 81 |
1st half: W&M 34, MONM 37 (MONM by 3). The model had W&M by 1.1 and a total of 72.7 (actual 71).
Team stats
| W&M | MONM | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 33 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Kyle Pulliam G | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Chase Lowe G | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cade Haskins F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 27 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kaleb Spencer, Ethan Connery, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Miles Hicks
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins G | 36 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 35 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 6-16 | 4-10 |
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 34 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Justin Ray G | 30 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 20 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Ball F | 30 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Dok Muordar C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zubayr Griffin, Lucas Orchard, Kavion McClain, Jinup Dobuol, Quinn Peters, Jack Leahy, Corey Miller, O'Marion Harvey
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -2.5
no move
CloseW&M -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
W&M -148 · MONM +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -2.5 · unchangedmodel W&M -1.5
model W&M -1.5
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | W&M -2.5 | W&M -1.7 | MONM +0.8 | W MONM covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 155.3 | Under 1.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | W&M 78.5 · MONM 76.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | W&M -1.1 | MONM -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | W&M 36.9 · MONM 35.8 | W&M 34 · MONM 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| MONM | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
W&M 2–1 MONMW&M leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · W&M 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MONM 73 @ W&M 78 | W&M -8.5 | MONM W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | W&M 64 @ MONM 68 | MONM -8.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | MONM 62 @ W&M 74 | W&M -3.5 | W&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
11-2
85% covers · avg +7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs STBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
covered 11didn’t cover 2avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
over 6under 7avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Monmouth
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ LAS | L 60-73 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 13 | @ HALL | L 58-70 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ SYR | L 73-78 | +21.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs RMU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs BALL | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEM | L 79-83 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | @ LAF | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRIN | W 63-58 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ GT | L 67-79 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 14 | @ FAIR | L 65-73 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs QUIN | L 75-85 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | vs LEH | W 76-62 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs CAM | L 65-68 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @TOW | W 62-48 | +8.5 | W +22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−8.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
+3.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+16.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−1.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+4.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
−10.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+12.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−0.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
−1.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 65-73
−10.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-85
−11.5
21
vsLEH
LEHW 76-62
+4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 65-68
−4.5
3
@TOW
TOWW 62-48
+22.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−10.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
−7.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+5.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−7.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+16.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
+16.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+20.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−18.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
+1.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 65-73
−5.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-85
+14.5
21
vsLEH
LEHW 76-62
−5.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 65-68
−19.5
3
@TOW
TOWW 62-48
−26.5
over 6under 8avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
9-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charleston79–88
- Wvs Stony Brook76–57
- Wvs Towson84–70
- Wvs Radford96–83
- L@ G Washington86–99
3 days since their last game.
Monmouth
6-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Towson62–48
- Lvs Campbell65–68
- Wvs Lehigh76–62
- Lvs Quinnipiac75–85
- L@ Fairfield65–73
5 days since their last game.