Newman Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
YALE -9.5✓ PENN covered by 13.5
YALE -9.5✓ PENN covered by 13.5Closing total144.5Over by 27.5
 PENN | This season | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| 16-11 | Record | 22-5 |
| 19-8 | ATS | 12-15 |
| 6-21 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PENN 70–78 YALE · ✗ YALE (76%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 41 | 34 | 13 | 88 |
| YALE | 39 | 36 | 9 | 84 |
1st half: PENN 41, YALE 39 (PENN by 2). The model had YALE by 4.7 and a total of 69.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| PENN | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 31-71 44% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 16-16 100% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 41 17 off |
| 17 | Assists | 23 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 24 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| PENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power F | 43 | 44 | 14 | 2 | 14-26 | 7-14 |
| Michael Zanoni G | 38 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Augustus Gerhart F | 33 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| AJ Levine G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Cam Thrower G | 29 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Lueth F | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jay Jones G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Dalton Scantlebury F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Niklas Polonowski G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: William Kruse, Payton Kamin, Ryan Altman, Michelangelo Oberti, Bradyn Foster, Dylan Williams, Alex Massung, Ethan Roberts, Johnnie Walter, Chris Ubochi
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 42 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 7-14 | 1-3 |
| Casey Simmons G | 40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 36 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 6-13 | 3-5 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 6-17 | 2-9 |
| Samson Aletan C | 23 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Devon Arlington G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Riley Fox F | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Daniel Ogunyemi, Jack Sullivan, Alvin Loving, Jacob Tsai, Courtney Wallace, Jeannot Basima
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -9.5
no move
CloseYALE -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
PENN +400 · YALE -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -9.5 · unchangedmodel YALE -8
model YALE -8
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | YALE -9.5 | YALE -8.0 | PENN +1.5 | W PENN covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 148.8 | Over 4.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PENN 70.4 · YALE 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | YALE -4.7 | PENN -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | PENN 32.5 · YALE 37.1 | PENN 41 · YALE 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PENN | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 0-10 0% |
| YALE | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
PENN 2–9 YALEYALE leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 6 meetings · PENN 4-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | PENN 70 @ YALE 74 | YALE -9.5 | PENN W |
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | YALE 77 @ PENN 60 | PENN +6.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 14, 2024-25 | PENN 71 @ YALE 72 | YALE -16.5 | PENN W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | YALE 90 @ PENN 61 | PENN +11.5 | YALE W |
| Feb 16, 2023-24 | YALE 76 @ PENN 62 | PENN +5.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
19-8
70% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-21
22% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ AMER | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ PROV | L 81-106 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 17 | vs JOES | W 83-74 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ DREX | W 84-68 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | vs MRMK | W 77-65 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs LAS | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs HOF | L 60-77 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ VILL | L 63-90 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | vs LAF | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 20 | @ RUTG | L 69-70 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | @ GMU | L 79-83 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs NJIT | W 80-61 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 5 | @ PRIN | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRWN | W 81-73 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ DART | W 84-74 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 19 | @ HARV | L 63-64 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vsYALE | L 60-77 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | @ COLU | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @ COR | W 91-81 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 173.5 | U 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsPRIN | W 61-60 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 13 | vsCOLU | W 76-67 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOR | W 82-76 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 169.5 | U 158 |
| Feb 21 | @YALE | L 70-74 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | vsDART | W 80-71 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsHARV | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | @BRWN | W 82-61 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 14 | vsHARV | W 62-60 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
−7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
−5.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
+14.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
+20.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
+9.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
+0.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−15.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
−8.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−5.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
+10.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+12.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
+4.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+1.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+2.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
+12.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
+4.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−10.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−0.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
+17.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−2.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
+7.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
+8.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
+5.5
27
vsDART
DARTW 80-71
+2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVW 64-61
+1.5
6
@BRWN
BRWNW 82-61
+22.5
14
vsHARV
HARVW 62-60
+5.5
covered 19didn’t cover 8avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@AMER
AMERL 78-84
+7.5
11
@PROV
PROVL 81-106
+14.5
17
vsJOES
JOESW 83-74
−6.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 84-68
−0.5
28
vsMRMK
MRMKW 77-65
−10.5
29
vsLAS
LASW 73-71
−5.5
30
vsHOF
HOFL 60-77
−12.5
6
@VILL
VILLL 63-90
+2.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 74-72
−4.5
20
@RUTG
RUTGL 69-70
−11.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 79-83
+15.5
31
vsNJIT
NJITW 80-61
−10.5
5
@PRIN
PRINL 76-78
+8.5
10
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-73
+8.5
17
@DART
DARTW 84-74
−5.5
19
@HARV
HARVL 63-64
−23.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 60-77
−20.5
30
@COLU
COLUL 67-72
−14.5
31
@COR
CORW 91-81
−1.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 61-60
−23.5
13
vsCOLU
COLUW 76-67
−5.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 82-76
−11.5
21
@YALE
YALEL 70-74
−6.5
27
vsDART
DARTW 80-71
−3.5
28
vsHARV
HARVW 64-61
−13.5
6
@BRWN
BRWNW 82-61
−3.5
14
vsHARV
HARVW 62-60
−17.5
over 6under 21avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Yale
27 games played
Straight up
22-5
81% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ QUIN | W 97-60 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs STBK | W 86-79 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 18 | vs URI | L 77-86 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | vs GB | W 73-67 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs COFC | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs AKR | W 97-94 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 30 | @ UVM | W 77-74 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 7 | vs UIC | W 80-66 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs UALB | W 93-82 | -17.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ALA | L 78-102 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 5 | @BRWN | W 70-53 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PRIN | L 60-76 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsCOR | W 102-68 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 174.5 | U 170 |
| Jan 19 | vsCOLU | W 91-74 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @PENN | W 77-60 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 30 | vsDART | W 83-68 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsHARV | L 65-67 | -11.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRWN | W 81-69 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 9 | @ HOW | W 87-81 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 13 | @DART | W 83-70 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @HARV | W 76-75 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 21 | vsPENN | W 74-70 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @COR | L 69-72 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @COLU | W 60-54 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 114 |
| Mar 7 | vsPRIN | W 78-53 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 14 | vsCOR | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+4.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
−3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
+1.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
−6.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
−8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
+8.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−23.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
+24.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+7.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+10.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−0.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−13.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
−3.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+3.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
−3.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−5.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−7.5
28
@COLU
COLUW 60-54
−0.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 78-53
+10.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 88-76
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
24
vsAKR
AKRW 97-94
+34.5
30
@UVM
UVMW 77-74
+3.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 80-66
−2.5
10
vsUALB
UALBW 93-82
+29.5
29
@ALA
ALAL 78-102
+8.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNW 70-53
−19.5
10
@PRIN
PRINL 60-76
−6.5
17
vsCOR
CORW 102-68
−4.5
19
vsCOLU
COLUW 91-74
+14.5
24
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−20.5
30
vsDART
DARTW 83-68
−4.5
31
vsHARV
HARVL 65-67
−9.5
6
vsBRWN
BRWNW 81-69
+9.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 87-81
+20.5
13
@DART
DARTW 83-70
+1.5
14
@HARV
HARVW 76-75
+12.5
21
vsPENN
PENNW 74-70
−6.5
27
@COR
CORL 69-72
−23.5
28
@COLU
COLUW 60-54
−33.5
7
vsPRIN
PRINW 78-53
−6.5
14
vsCOR
CORW 88-76
+0.5
over 14under 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn
16-11 overall · 10-5 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Harvard62–60
- W@ Brown82–61
- Wvs Harvard64–61
- Wvs Dartmouth80–71
- L@ Yale70–74
1 day since their last game.
Yale
22-5 overall · 12-3 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cornell88–76
- Wvs Princeton78–53
- W@ Columbia60–54
- L@ Cornell69–72
- Wvs Penn74–70
1 day since their last game.