Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
VAN -2.5✓ ARK covered by 13.5
VAN -2.5✓ ARK covered by 13.5Closing total165.5Under by 4.5
| VAN | This season | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| 26-7 | Record | 25-8 |
| 18-15 | ATS | 21-12 |
| 17-16 | O/U | 19-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 87–86 ARK · ✗ VAN (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 39 | 36 | 75 |
| ARK | 41 | 45 | 86 |
1st half: VAN 39, ARK 41 (ARK by 2). The model had VAN by 0.9 and a total of 80.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| VAN | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-66 38% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 15-24 63% |
| 15-15 100% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 36 5 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3-15 | 1-3 |
| Duke Miles G | 36 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 7-14 | 3-6 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 33 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 7-12 | 5-7 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 27 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| AK Okereke F | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Chandler Bing F | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frankie Collins, Miles Keeffe, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Mike James, Tyler Harris, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Richmond III G | 39 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 37 | 30 | 3 | 11 | 9-20 | 5-8 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 35 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Nick Pringle F | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Wagner G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Malique Ewin F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elmir Dzafic, Karim Rtail, Paulo Semedo, Ayden Kelley, Jaden Karuletwa, Amere Brown, Karter Knox, Isaiah Sealy
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -1.5
1 → VAN
CloseVAN -2.5
1 pt toward VAN
Total
Open169.5
▼ 4
Close165.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -142 · ARK +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -1.5 · closed VAN -2.5 · moved 1 toward VANmodel VAN -1.5
model VAN -1.5
Opened 169.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 4 downmodel 172.5
model 172.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAN -2.5 | VAN -1.3 | ARK +1.2 | W ARK covered |
| Total | 165.5 | 172.6 | Over 7.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | VAN 87 · ARK 85.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAN -0.9 | ARK -2.0 |
| 1H total | 80.6 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | VAN 40.7 · ARK 39.8 | VAN 39 · ARK 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
VAN 3–3 ARKSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · ARK has won the last 3 meetings · VAN 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025-26 | VAN 68 @ ARK 93 | ARK -1.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | ARK 90 @ VAN 77 | VAN -7.5 | ARK W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | VAN 85 vs ARK 90 | ARK -6.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | VAN 85 @ ARK 82 | ARK -9.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | ARK 84 @ VAN 97 | VAN +3.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
33 games played
Straight up
26-7
79% wins
Against the spread
18-15
55% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-16
52% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs MISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @ MIZ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs TENN | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vs UGA | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @UK | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @MISS | W 89-86 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | @TENN | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 13 | vsTENN | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 14 | vsFLA | W 91-74 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
−4.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−6.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+0.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
−12.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
−4.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+6.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
+8.5
14
vsFLA
FLAW 91-74
+24.5
covered 18didn’t cover 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
+6.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−16.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+4.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
+10.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
+19.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+21.5
13
vsTENN
TENNW 75-68
−4.5
14
vsFLA
FLAW 91-74
+3.5
over 17under 16avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
33 games played
Straight up
25-8
76% wins
Against the spread
21-12
64% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Against the spread
21-1264%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vsCARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vsTENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vsSC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vsVAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vsLSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 27 | @OU | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vsUK | L 77-85 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 7 | @MSST | W 88-68 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 163.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 10 | @LSU | W 91-62 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsAUB | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ALA | L 115-117 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | O 232 |
| Feb 21 | vsMIZ | W 94-86 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 25 | vsTA&M | W 99-84 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 28 | @FLA | L 77-111 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 4 | vsTEX | W 105-85 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | @MIZ | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 13 | vsOU | W 82-79 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 14 | vsMISS | W 93-90 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
+0.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
−14.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
+14.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
+24.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
+5.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+1.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
−1.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+7.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
−24.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+13.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+6.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−3.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
−5.5
covered 21didn’t cover 12avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
27
@OU
OUW 83-79
−5.5
31
vsUK
UKL 77-85
+2.5
7
@MSST
MSSTW 88-68
−7.5
10
@LSU
LSUW 91-62
−6.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 88-75
−2.5
18
@ALA
ALAL 115-117
+50.5
21
vsMIZ
MIZW 94-86
+20.5
25
vsTA&M
TA&MW 99-84
+12.5
28
@FLA
FLAL 77-111
+18.5
4
vsTEX
TEXW 105-85
+26.5
7
@MIZ
MIZW 88-84
+8.5
13
vsOU
OUW 82-79
−5.5
14
vsMISS
MISSW 93-90
+23.5
over 19under 14avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
26-7 overall · 13-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida91–74
- Wvs Tennessee75–68
- W@ Tennessee86–82
- W@ Ole Miss89–86
- L@ Kentucky77–91
1 day since their last game.
Arkansas
25-8 overall · 15-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ole Miss93–90
- Wvs Oklahoma82–79
- W@ Missouri88–84
- Wvs Texas105–85
- L@ Florida77–111
1 day since their last game.