UD Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
HOW -1.5✓ HOW covered by 1.5
HOW -1.5✓ HOW covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Over by 25.5
 UMBC | This season | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| 22-8 | Record | 19-10 |
| 19-11 | ATS | 20-9 |
| 13-17 | O/U | 13-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 74–73 HOW · ✗ UMBC (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| HOW | 49 | 37 | 86 |
1st half: UMBC 41, HOW 49 (HOW by 8). The model had UMBC by 0.6 and a total of 68.4 (actual 90).
Team stats
| UMBC | HOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 36 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Ace Valentine G | 36 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jah'Likai King G | 33 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 21 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Diggs F | 31 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Cougar Downing G | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Stout, Saahil Thakkar, Tim Eze, Daylon Dickerson, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus G | 38 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Harris G | 36 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 6-12 | 3-4 |
| Alex Cotton G | 36 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Ose Okojie G | 34 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 9-15 | 3-3 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 31 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Travelle Bryson G | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: River Smith, Julian Johnson, Jeremiah Johnson, Shane Frazier, BJ Powell, Stefan Isailovic, Ed Holland III
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOW -1.5
no move
CloseHOW -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -108 · HOW -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOW -1.5 · unchangedmodel UMBC -1
model UMBC -1
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOW -1.5 | UMBC -0.8 | UMBC +2.3 | L HOW covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 146.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UMBC 73.6 · HOW 72.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UMBC -0.6 | HOW -8.0 |
| 1H total | 68.4 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | UMBC 34.5 · HOW 33.9 | UMBC 41 · HOW 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 10-0 100% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| HOW | 9-1 90% | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UMBC 1–0 HOWUMBC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UMBC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024-25 | HOW 77 @ UMBC 95 | UMBC +1.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
30 games played
Straight up
22-8
73% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-17
43% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ COPP | W 93-59 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 8 | vs ME | W 69-62 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNH | W 75-74 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 15 | @ BRY | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 19 | @ BING | W 78-60 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 22 | vs NJIT | W 87-74 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs UML | W 79-56 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UVM | L 55-64 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @ UALB | W 68-65 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | vsBING | W 79-62 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ME | W 78-62 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Feb 14 | @UNH | W 85-63 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 19 | vsUVM | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 21 | vsUALB | W 66-62 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 26 | vsBRY | W 70-58 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 28 | @UML | W 84-60 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 3 | @NJIT | W 91-52 | -4.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNH | W 84-69 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 10 | vsUML | W 91-69 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVM | W 74-59 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+23.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−0.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
−5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
−6.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
+13.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+6.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
+20.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−0.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
+1.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+5.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+12.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+19.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
+14.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−3.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
+0.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
+21.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
+34.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+2.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+14.5
14
vsUVM
UVMW 74-59
+13.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
29
@COPP
COPPW 93-59
+3.5
8
vsME
MEW 69-62
−2.5
10
vsUNH
UNHW 75-74
+5.5
15
@BRY
BRYL 74-79
+17.5
19
@BING
BINGW 78-60
−2.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 87-74
+17.5
24
vsUML
UMLW 79-56
−16.5
29
@UVM
UVML 55-64
−22.5
31
@UALB
UALBW 68-65
−8.5
5
vsBING
BINGW 79-62
+2.5
12
@ME
MEW 78-62
+4.5
14
@UNH
UNHW 85-63
+1.5
19
vsUVM
UVMW 75-62
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 66-62
−16.5
26
vsBRY
BRYW 70-58
−10.5
28
@UML
UMLW 84-60
−6.5
3
@NJIT
NJITW 91-52
−0.5
7
vsUNH
UNHW 84-69
+10.5
10
vsUML
UMLW 91-69
+12.5
14
vsUVM
UVMW 74-59
−1.5
over 13under 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Howard
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
20-9
69% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs NIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @ DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | @ NU | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @ SCST | L 57-58 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @ UMES | L 57-69 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vsDSU | W 84-58 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 129.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCCU | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 24 | vsMORG | L 77-78 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs NORF | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 2 | @COPP | W 72-53 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vsSCST | W 85-57 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 9 | vs YALE | L 81-87 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | vsUMES | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | @DSU | W 91-59 | -11.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 21 | vsNCCU | W 100-67 | -12.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @MORG | W 84-59 | -8.5 | W +16.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 2 | vsCOPP | W 90-70 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 5 | @NORF | W 84-76 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 13 | vsSCST | W 78-61 | -15.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 14 | vsNCCU | W 70-63 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−0.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−9.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−14.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+17.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+11.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
−15.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+20.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
+4.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+13.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+0.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
+15.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+20.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+20.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
+16.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+0.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+1.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
+1.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−4.5
covered 20didn’t cover 9avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−8.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−29.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−4.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+12.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+10.5
24
vsMORG
MORGL 77-78
+6.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 88-60
+1.5
2
@COPP
COPPW 72-53
−21.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-57
+0.5
9
vsYALE
YALEL 81-87
+20.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 79-53
−0.5
16
@DSU
DSUW 91-59
+18.5
21
vsNCCU
NCCUW 100-67
+23.5
28
@MORG
MORGW 84-59
−15.5
2
vsCOPP
COPPW 90-70
+19.5
5
@NORF
NORFW 84-76
+10.5
13
vsSCST
SCSTW 78-61
−6.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 70-63
−9.5
over 13under 16avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
22-8 overall · 17-2 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vermont74–59
- Wvs UMass Lowell91–69
- Wvs New Hampshire84–69
- W@ NJIT91–52
- W@ UMass Lowell84–60
3 days since their last game.
Howard
19-10 overall · 13-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central70–63
- Wvs SC State78–61
- W@ Norfolk St84–76
- Wvs Coppin St90–70
- W@ Morgan St84–59
3 days since their last game.