Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington · Conference game
Closing line
UNCW -4.5✓ W&M covered by 11.5
UNCW -4.5✓ W&M covered by 11.5Closing total159.5Over by 3.5
 W&M | This season | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 17-3 |
| 13-7 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 76–81 UNCW · ✗ UNCW (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| UNCW | 45 | 33 | 78 |
1st half: W&M 41, UNCW 45 (UNCW by 4). The model had UNCW by 2.5 and a total of 73.4 (actual 86).
Team stats
| W&M | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 29-55 53% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 9-16 56% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 30 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Chase Lowe G | 17 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 29 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 27 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Reese Miller G | 26 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Kaleb Spencer, Finn Lally, Ethan Connery, Jhei-R Jones, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Miles Hicks
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wessler C | 35 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 35 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 7-16 | 5-10 |
| Christian May G | 32 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Greedy Williams G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Noah Ross G | 30 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Gavin Walsh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -4.5
ModelUNCW -4.5
Model edge—
W&M covered
Total
Market159.5
Model157.0
Model edgeUnder 2.5
L Over
Projected score
W&M 76.2 · UNCW 80.7
W&M 85 · UNCW 78
Win probability
UNCW 65%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -2.5
UNCW -4.0
Total
73.4
86 points
Projected score
W&M 35.4 · UNCW 38
W&M 41 · UNCW 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -4.5
no move
CloseUNCW -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
W&M +180 · UNCW -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -4.5 · unchangedmodel UNCW -4.5 matches the line
model UNCW -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UNCW | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
W&M 2–6 UNCWUNCW leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · W&M 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025-26 | UNCW 70 @ W&M 77 | W&M -2.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | UNCW 79 @ W&M 70 | W&M +2.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | W&M 74 @ UNCW 85 | UNCW -6.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UNCW 81 @ W&M 65 | W&M +10.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | UNCW 70 @ W&M 63 | W&M +6.5 | UNCW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs STBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vs NCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 22 | vsUNCW | W 77-70 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | vs HOF | W 89-82 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 29 | @ ELON | L 76-79 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs CAM | L 96-104 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | O 200 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
+4.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+3.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
−16.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
−12.5
24
vsHOF
HOFW 89-82
+13.5
29
@ELON
ELONL 76-79
−14.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 96-104
+31.5
over 9under 11avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Wilmington
20 games played
Straight up
17-3
85% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vsDREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | @STBK | W 75-71 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vsCAM | W 78-75 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 22 | @W&M | L 70-77 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | @HAMP | W 75-67 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 29 | @TOW | W 82-73 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+4.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
−2.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
−3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−4.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+3.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+22.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
+12.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
+3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−12.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+5.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+19.5
over 12under 8avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
12-8 overall · 5-5 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Campbell96–104
- L@ Elon76–79
- Wvs Hofstra89–82
- Wvs UNC Wilmington77–70
- Wvs NC A&T97–89
5 days since their last game.
UNC Wilmington
17-3 overall · 8-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Towson82–73
- W@ Hampton75–67
- L@ William & Mary70–77
- Wvs Campbell78–75
- W@ Stony Brook75–71
A week or more of rest.