Climate Pledge Arena · at Seattle U · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -9.5✓ SEA covered by 7.5
SMC -9.5✓ SEA covered by 7.5Closing total133.5Over by 8.5
| SMC | This season | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 22-4 | Record | 14-11 |
| 16-10 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 9-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 70–62 SEA · ✓ SMC (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| SEA | 28 | 42 | 70 |
1st half: SMC 35, SEA 28 (SMC by 7). The model had SMC by 5.3 and a total of 61.9 (actual 63).
Team stats
| SMC | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 7 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 37 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 30 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 29 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Harry Wessels C | 21 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 19 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Rory Hawke G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent MacLean, Oliver Faubert, Tony Duckett, Kevin Gad, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Heimbrodt F | 34 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 33 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 33 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Maleek Arington G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Austin Maurer C | 25 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Houran Dan C | 15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Miles Amos G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Harshman, Stratos Papastavrou, JT White, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams, Brayden Maldonado, Brock Felder
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -10.5
1 → SEA
CloseSMC -9.5
1 pt toward SEA
Total
Open136.5
▼ 3
Close133.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SMC -625 · SEA +455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -10.5 · closed SMC -9.5 · moved 1 toward SEAmodel SMC -8.5
model SMC -8.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 3 downmodel 132
model 132
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMC -9.5 | SMC -8.7 | SEA +0.8 | W SEA covered |
| Total | 133.5 | 132.0 | Under 1.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SMC 70.4 · SEA 61.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMC -5.3 | SMC -7.0 |
| 1H total | 61.9 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | SMC 33.6 · SEA 28.3 | SMC 35 · SEA 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| SEA | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMC 1–0 SEASMC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | SEA 76 @ SMC 93 | SMC -11.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
26 games played
Straight up
22-4
85% wins
Against the spread
16-10
62% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vsSEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs WSU | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 13 | @ SF | W 82-68 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ SCU | L 54-62 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 21 | vs ORST | W 81-51 | -19.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @PORT | W 75-69 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @ GONZ | L 65-73 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs USD | W 87-60 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | vsSF | W 79-54 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsPEPP | W 88-60 | -24.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 14 | @ PAC | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
−9.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−6.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
+10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−8.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
+0.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
+6.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
+13.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
14
@PAC
PACW 72-61
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 10avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
10
vsWSU
WSUW 88-82
+26.5
13
@SF
SFW 82-68
+8.5
17
@SCU
SCUL 54-62
−36.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 81-51
−10.5
24
@PORT
PORTW 75-69
−0.5
31
@GONZ
GONZL 65-73
−6.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 87-60
−1.5
7
vsSF
SFW 79-54
−9.5
11
vsPEPP
PEPPW 88-60
+3.5
14
@PAC
PACW 72-61
−2.5
over 12under 14avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Seattle U
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs EWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCD | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs WASH | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTSA | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vsSF | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vsWSU | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @GONZ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | @SMC | L 76-93 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @ORST | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 15 | vsUSD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsGONZ | L 50-71 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vsLMU | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @PAC | L 54-56 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @WSU | L 58-70 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 4 | vsPEPP | W 83-81 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @PORT | L 53-54 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 11 | @SCU | L 72-84 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 15 | vsORST | W 60-50 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
−1.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
+11.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−7.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−10.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
+7.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
+16.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
−5.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−17.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
+1.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−11.5
21
vsLMU
LMUW 69-59
+5.5
24
@PAC
PACL 54-56
−0.5
28
@WSU
WSUL 58-70
−10.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-81
−10.5
7
@PORT
PORTL 53-54
−4.5
11
@SCU
SCUL 72-84
+0.5
15
vsORST
ORSTW 60-50
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
+13.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
−15.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−9.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−20.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
−20.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
−3.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 76-93
+29.5
8
@ORST
ORSTL 55-68
−16.5
15
vsUSD
USDW 75-64
−8.5
17
vsGONZ
GONZL 50-71
−29.5
21
vsLMU
LMUW 69-59
−13.5
24
@PAC
PACL 54-56
−27.5
28
@WSU
WSUL 58-70
−14.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-81
+24.5
7
@PORT
PORTL 53-54
−36.5
11
@SCU
SCUL 72-84
+8.5
15
vsORST
ORSTW 60-50
−26.5
over 9under 16avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
22-4 overall · 12-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Pacific72–61
- Wvs Pepperdine88–60
- Wvs San Francisco79–54
- Wvs San Diego87–60
- L@ Gonzaga65–73
4 days since their last game.
Seattle U
14-11 overall · 5-9 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon St60–50
- L@ Santa Clara72–84
- L@ Portland53–54
- Wvs Pepperdine83–81
- L@ Washington St58–70
3 days since their last game.